THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL

Transcription

1 THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

2 Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 64% 70% 69% 65% 66% 66% 63% 58% 28% 21% 21% 26% 26% 27% 30% 27% 8% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 14% 3/20/2014 8/28/ /11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 Right direction Unsure Wrong track Q2

3 April 17-20, 2016/ N=1,000 Registered voters/split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 55% 54% 54% 52% 67% 60% 62% 51% 56% 55% 64% 63% 62% 59% 72% 75% 59% 59% 61% 57% 57% 56% 54% 73% 59% 67% 64% 70% 69% 65% 66%66% 63% 58% 40% 40% 41% 39% 38% 34% 28% 36% 32% 32% 31% 31%29% 32% 33% 38% 37% 37% 39% 34% 28% 26% 28% 24% 21%21% 26% 27% 30% 27% 2/1/06 10/1/05 3/1/05 10/1/04 8/1/04 6/1/04 12/1/09 7/1/09 9/1/06 9/21/10 8/1/10 4/8/10 9/1/11 5/12/11 10/21/10 5/1/12 2/12/12 11/11/11 9/27/12 9/20/12 8/12/12 12/6/12 11/5/12 10/18/12 3/14/14 1/16/14 10/31/13 12/11/14 8/28/14 9/1/16 4/20/16 5/7/15 12/1/16 10/13/16 Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure Q2

4 How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 53% 51% 50% 49% 50% 51% 53% 53% 44% 44% 43% 45% 46% 47% 44% 42% 3% 5% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3/20/2014 8/28/ /11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 Approve Unsure Disapprove Q3

5 April 17-20, 2016/ N=1,000 Registered voters/split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 51% 54% 52% 50% 52% 53% 48%49% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 52% 53% 51% 50% 53% 49% 50% 51% 53% 46% 45% 45% 48% 48% 48% 44% 45% 49% 48% 49% 47% 45% 41% 44% 44% 43% 45% 46% 47% 44% 42% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% 3% 5% 7% 6% 4% 3% 3% 5% 10/20/10 9/1/11 2/22/12 8/8/12 9/27/12 11/5/12 10/31/13 3/20/14 12/14/14 4/20/ /13/2016 Approve Unsure Disapprove Q3

6 What do think is the most important issue for President Trump and Congress to focus on in the first 100 days of his term? Jobs 8% The economy 15% Health care 11% Illegal immigration Foreign threats 5% 6% Social Security Taxes The deficit 3% 1% 2% Dysfunction in government 9% Division in the country 21% Q4.1

7 And, what issue would you say is the next most important issue for them to focus on in the first 100 days? (If choice made in Q4.1, Asked of N= 818 Respondents, or 81.7% of Sample) Jobs 11% The economy 18% Health care 13% Illegal immigration Foreign threats 8% 8% Social Security Taxes The deficit 3% 4% 5% Dysfunction in government 13% Division in the country 11% Q4.2

8 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Hillary Clinton 42% 55% 3% Bernie Sanders 56% 30% 11% 2% Donald Trump 45% 49% 6% Mike Pence 44% 37% 12% 7% Paul Ryan 35% 36% 18% 11% Mitch McConnell 17% 33% 25% 25% Melania Trump 34% 27% 35% 4% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q5-11

9 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Hillary Clinton 56% 55% 48% 47% 42% 43% 53% 45% 55% 42% 4% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q5

10 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Donald Trump 65% 58% 61% 32% 38% 49% 36% 45% 3% 3% 2% 6% 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q7

11 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Mike Pence 9/1/ % 27% 14% 25% 10/13/ % 31% 10% 15% 12/1/ % 37% 12% 7% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q8

12 Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about Donald Trump since he has become President-elect has it given you a more favorable or less favorable impression of him? 47% 38% 5% 11% More favorable Unsure No difference Less favorable Q12

13 Thinking about the recent election for President of the United States Which candidate did you vote for? Donald Trump 38% Hillary Clinton 42% Gary Johnson Jill Stein 5% 1% Evan McMullin Someone else Did not vote for President 2% 5% 6% Q13

14 Please tell me which ONE of these statements comes closer to your own view (If Trump in Q13, Asked of N= 382 Respondents, or 38.2% of Sample) 79% I was definite in my decision to vote for Donald Trump 20% I reluctantly voted for Donald Trump 1% Other/Unsure Q13-1

15 Please tell me which ONE of these statements comes closer to your own view (If Clinton in Q13, Asked of N= 424 Respondents, or 42.3% of Sample) 75% 24% 1% I was definite in my decision to vote for Hillary Clinton I reluctantly voted for Hillary Clinton Other/Unsure Q13-2

16 As you may already know, after the election, Donald Trump is now President elect of the United States and Republicans have majority control of both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate. With this in mind Which of the following emotions best describes how you feel about the election results? Excited 14% Hopeful 33% Concerned 23% Scared 26% Q14

17 Some people have commented that the language used during this Presidential campaign was coarse and offensive. Which of these statements best reflects your view on the sometimes coarse language used in this Presidential campaign: This language was repulsive and had no place in a Presidential campaign 52% The language was offensive but understandable given the state of our media environment 20% This language was just the jolt our political system needs 6% This language was not a big deal to me 18% Q15

18 Which of these statements best describes how this type of language affected your decision about voting for President? Would you say that it 54% 33% 7% Made you less likely to cast a vote for President Made you less likely to vote for a specific candidate Had no impact Q16

19 As you may already know, the Republican Party will be in control of the White House and both houses of Congress, beginning in January. With this in mind, please tell me if you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely that action will be taken to deal with the following issues. Building a wall on the US-Mexican border and securing our Southern border. 17% 24% 25% 30% 5% Reforming the tax code 33% 38% 15% 9% 6% Ending trade deals like NAFTA 25% 35% 20% 8% 12% Repealing ObamaCare and replacing it with different health care reforms 44% 35% 11% 6% 4% Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Unsure Q17-20

20 As you may already know, the Republican Party will be in control of the White House and both houses of Congress, beginning in January. With this in mind, please tell me if you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not at all likely that action will be taken to deal with the following issues. Making improvements to roads and bridges 26% 40% 20% 3% 11% Ending U.S. military involvement in places like Japan and Western Europe. 8% 21% 38% 25% 9% Defeating ISIS 24% 29% 23% 18% 6% Privatizing Medicare 15% 33% 27% 16% 10% Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Unsure Q21-24