Goodman looks like best Dem alternative
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- Kerrie Sharp
- 5 years ago
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1 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE January 14, 2010 INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM / (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen) QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN Goodman looks like best Dem alternative Raleigh, N.C. There have been too many polls to count over the last few months showing that Harry Reid would lose to his Republican opponents so we decided to take a different tack and see how some other Democrats would do against them in the event that he decides not to run for reelection. On the topic of Reid we did find pretty much what the other polls have been finding- 36% approval to 58% disapproval, a deficit against Sue, and a one against Danny. PPP tested Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman, Congresswoman Shelley Berkley, and Secretary of State Ross Miller as possible alternatives to Reid. Goodman comes out the best, leading and tied with at % of voters in the state have a favorable opinion of him to 21% unfavorable, and he s viewed positively by Democrats, Republicans, and independents. Berkley and Miller both post numbers pretty similar to Reid. Berkley trails and by identical eight point margins and Miller has a 10 point deficit against and an 11 point one against. Berkley, Miller,, and are all relatively unknown to voters in the state with a plurality offering no opinion about each of them. Democrats would probably be better off with someone other than Harry Reid on the ballot but it would be a tough race in any case, said Dean Debnam, President of PPP. PPP surveyed 763 Nevada voters on January 11 th and 12th. The margin of error is +/- 3.6%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify. Complete results are attached and can be found at If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) or ### Public Policy Polling Phone: Web: information@publicpolicypolling.com
2 Nevada Survey Results Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama s job performance? If you approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you re not sure, press 3. Approve...44% Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Oscar Goodman? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you re not sure, press % Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 Disapprove...52%... 4% Do you support or oppose President Obama s health care plan, or do you not have an opinion? If you support it, press 1. If you oppose it, press 2. If you don t have an opinion, press 3. Support...36% Oppose...54% No Opinion...10% Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Harry Reid s job performance? If you approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. If you re not sure, press 3. Approve...36% Disapprove...58%... 5% Do you think that Harry Reid should step down from his position as Senate Majority Leader? If yes, press 1. If no, press 2. If you re not sure, press 3. Yes...42% No...49%... 9% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Shelley Berkley? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you re not sure, press %...27%...46% Q7 Q8...21%...36% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sue? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you re not sure, press %... 49%... 22% Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ross Miller? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you re not sure, press %...16%...66% Q9 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Danny? If favorable, press 1. If unfavorable, press 2. If you re not sure, press %... 43%... 24% Q10 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Harry Reid and Republican Sue, who would you vote for? If Harry Reid, press 1. If Sue, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Reid... 41%... 8%... 51% Survey of 763 Nevada voters
3 Q11 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Harry Reid and Republican Danny, who would you vote for? If Harry Reid, press 1. If Danny, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Reid...42%...50%... 8% Q12 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Shelley Berkley and Republican Sue, who would you vote for? If Shelley Berkley, press 1. If Sue, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Berkley...38%...46%...17% Q13 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Shelley Berkley and Republican Danny, who would you vote for? If Shelley Berkley, press 1. If Danny, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Berkley...39%...47%...14% Q14 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Oscar Goodman and Republican Sue, who would you vote for? If Oscar Goodman, press 1. If Sue, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Goodman...42%...40%...18% Q15 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Oscar Goodman and Republican Danny, who would you vote for? If Oscar Goodman, press 1. If Danny, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Goodman...41%...41%...18% Q16 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Ross Miller and Republican Sue, who would you vote for? If Ross Miller, press 1. If Sue, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Miller...34%...44%...23% Q17 If the candidates for US Senate this fall were Democrat Ross Miller and Republican Danny, who would you vote for? If Ross Miller, press 1. If Danny, press 2. If you re undecided, press 3. Miller...34%...45%...22% Q18 Who did you vote for President last year? If John McCain, press 1. If Barack Obama, press 2. If someone else or you don t remember, press 3. McCain...41% Obama...49% Remember...10% Q19 If you are a liberal, press 1. If a moderate, press 2. If a conservative, press 3. Liberal...17% Moderate...45% Conservative...38% Survey of 763 Nevada voters
4 Q20 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2. Woman...51% Man...49% Q21 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a Republican, press 2. If you are an independent or identify with another party, press 3. Democrat...42% Republican...35% Independent/Other...22% Q22 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2. If American, press 3. If other, press 4. Hispanic...17% White...69% American... 8% Other... 6% Q23 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65, press 3. If older, press to % 30 to % 46 to %...22% Survey of 763 Nevada voters
5 Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 44% 5% 81% 25% Support 36% 4% 69% 9% Disapprove 52% 93% 14% 70% Oppose 54% 94% 15% 78% 4% 2% 5% 5% No Opinion 10% 2% 16% 13% Reid Approval Approve Disapprove 36% 4% 68% 12% 58% 93% 26% 73% 5% 3% 6% 14% Should Reid quit leadership? Yes No 42% 68% 18% 50% 49% 23% 73% 35% 9% 8% 9% 15%
6 Berkley Favorability 27% 12% 43% 11% 27% 39% 14% 41% 46% 50% 43% 48% Goodman Favorability 43% 39% 48% 32% 21% 23% 19% 25% 36% 38% 33% 43% Favorability Miller Favorability 29% 48% 15% 23% 18% 15% 23% 11% 22% 12% 30% 20% 16% 19% 14% 11% 49% 40% 54% 57% 66% 66% 63% 79%
7 Favorability 33% 51% 18% 35% 24% 13% 34% 16% 43% 36% 48% 49% Reid/ Reid 41% 5% 75% 20% 51% 91% 17% 61% 8% 4% 8% 19% Reid/ Reid 42% 6% 76% 22% 50% 89% 17% 54% 8% 5% 7% 24% Berkley/ Berkley 38% 6% 68% 16% 46% 83% 13% 53% 17% 11% 19% 32%
8 Berkley/ Berkley 39% 5% 70% 20% 47% 84% 14% 55% 14% 10% 16% 25% Goodman/ Goodman 42% 16% 68% 21% 40% 70% 13% 46% 18% 14% 18% 33% Goodman/ Miller/ Goodman 41% 16% 65% 21% Miller 34% 6% 60% 16% 41% 71% 15% 49% 44% 80% 13% 47% 18% 13% 21% 30% 23% 15% 27% 37%
9 Miller/ Miller 34% 6% 60% 18% 45% 82% 13% 45% 22% 12% 27% 37% Obama Approval Approve Disapprove 44% 80% 58% 12% 52% 14% 38% 86% 4% 6% 4% 3% Obama Health Care Reid Approval Support 36% 71% 47% 7% Approve 36% 68% 47% 9% Oppose 54% 17% 41% 86% Disapprove 58% 27% 45% 88% No Opinion 10% 12% 12% 6% 5% 5% 8% 3%
10 Should Reid quit leadership? Yes No 42% 21% 33% 62% 49% 74% 58% 26% 9% 4% 9% 12% Berkley Favorability 27% 40% 35% 12% 27% 15% 20% 41% 46% 45% 46% 47% Goodman Favorability 43% 46% 45% 39% 21% 22% 18% 25% 36% 32% 37% 36% Low den Favorability 29% 10% 25% 44% 22% 40% 22% 13% 49% 51% 53% 43%
11 Miller Favorability 18% 22% 21% 14% 16% 25% 13% 15% 66% 53% 66% 71% Favorability 33% 18% 28% 45% 24% 38% 25% 16% 43% 43% 47% 39% Reid/Low den Reid/ Re id 41% 79% 51% 12% Re id 42% 78% 54% 12% 51% 12% 41% 82% 50% 13% 38% 81% 8% 9% 9% 6% 8% 8% 9% 8%
12 Berkley/ Berkley/ Be rk ley 38% 72% 48% 10% Be rk ley 39% 72% 51% 9% 46% 14% 31% 77% 47% 17% 30% 81% 17% 14% 21% 13% 14% 10% 19% 10% Goodman/ Goodman/ Goodman 42% 73% 51% 18% Goodman 41% 68% 49% 18% 40% 6% 31% 66% 41% 12% 29% 68% 18% 20% 19% 16% 18% 20% 21% 14%
13 Miller/Low den Miller/ Miller 34% 69% 40% 10% Miller 34% 69% 41% 9% 44% 12% 29% 75% 45% 13% 30% 76% 23% 19% 31% 15% 22% 18% 30% 14% Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 44% 48% 41% Support 36% 40% 32% Disapprove 52% 47% 57% Oppose 54% 47% 61% 4% 5% 2% No Opinion 10% 13% 7%
14 Reid Approval Approve Disapprove 36% 41% 31% 58% 54% 63% 5% 5% 6% Should Reid quit leadership? Yes No 42% 40% 44% 49% 50% 47% 9% 10% 8% Berkley Favorability 27% 28% 26% 27% 19% 35% 46% 53% 39% Goodm an Favorability 43% 38% 48% 21% 22% 21% 36% 40% 31%
15 Favorability Miller Favorability 29% 23% 37% 18% 18% 19% 22% 24% 19% 16% 13% 19% 49% 53% 44% 66% 69% 63% Favorability 33% 28% 39% 24% 22% 25% 43% 50% 36% Reid/Low den Re id 41% 47% 34% 51% 45% 58% 8% 8% 7%
16 Reid/ Berkley/Low den Re id 42% 48% 36% Be rk ley 38% 39% 36% 50% 45% 55% 46% 41% 50% 8% 7% 9% 17% 19% 14% Berkley/ Goodman/ Be rk ley 39% 41% 36% Goodm an 42% 42% 42% 47% 41% 53% 40% 35% 45% 14% 18% 11% 18% 23% 13%
17 Goodman/ Miller/Low den Goodm an 41% 41% 40% Miller 34% 36% 31% 41% 36% 47% 44% 37% 51% 18% 23% 13% 23% 27% 19% Miller/ Miller 34% 35% 32% 45% 39% 50% Obama Approval Approve Disapprove Democrat Republican Independent/Other 44% 81% 7% 35% 52% 15% 91% 61% 4% 5% 2% 3% 22% 26% 18%
18 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Obama Health Care Support 36% 68% 5% 25% Oppose 54% 17% 91% 65% No Opinion 10% 15% 4% 10% Reid Approval Approve Disapprove Democrat Republican Independent/Other 36% 67% 7% 24% 58% 27% 90% 68% 5% 6% 3% 8% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Should Reid quit leadership? Yes 42% 20% 62% 51% No 49% 70% 28% 42% 9% 10% 10% 7% Berkley Favorability Democrat Republican Independent/Other 27% 45% 11% 19% 27% 14% 38% 35% 46% 41% 51% 46%
19 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other Goodman Favorability 43% 48% 37% 43% 21% 18% 23% 25% 36% 35% 40% 32% Favorability 29% 18% 40% 35% 22% 31% 12% 18% 49% 51% 48% 47% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Democrat Republican Independent/Other Miller Favorability 18% 23% 14% 15% 16% 15% 16% 17% 66% 62% 69% 68% Favorability 33% 21% 46% 34% 24% 32% 15% 22% 43% 47% 39% 43%
20 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Reid/ Reid 41% 75% 9% 27% 51% 17% 86% 62% 8% 8% 5% 11% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Reid/ Reid 42% 76% 9% 30% 50% 17% 85% 55% 8% 7% 6% 15% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Berkley/ Berkley 38% 70% 8% 24% 46% 13% 78% 55% 17% 17% 14% 21% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Berkley/ Berkley 39% 71% 7% 27% 47% 15% 81% 53% 14% 13% 12% 20%
21 Democrat Republican Independent/Other Goodman/ Goodm an 42% 70% 16% 30% 40% 12% 68% 48% 18% 18% 16% 22% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Goodman/ Goodm an 41% 67% 16% 30% 41% 11% 71% 50% 18% 22% 14% 20% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Miller/Low den Miller 34% 64% 6% 19% 44% 13% 75% 51% 23% 23% 19% 30% Democrat Republican Independent/Other Miller/ Miller 34% 64% 8% 18% 45% 13% 78% 50% 22% 23% 14% 31%
22 Obama Approval Obama Health Care Approve 44% 62% 38% 70% 33% Support 36% 57% 31% 39% 33% Disapprove 52% 36% 58% 22% 67% Oppose 54% 36% 60% 30% 63% 4% 2% 4% 9% - No Opinion 10% 7% 8% 30% 4% Reid Approval Approve Disapprove 36% 52% 32% 43% 28% 58% 38% 64% 43% 72% 5% 10% 4% 13% - Should Reid quit leadership? Yes No 42% 31% 45% 39% 46% 49% 50% 49% 48% 46% 9% 19% 7% 13% 7%
23 Berkley Favorability 27% 33% 24% 48% 22% 27% 28% 28% 17% 30% 46% 40% 49% 35% 48% Goodman Favorability 43% 58% 38% 61% 33% 21% 16% 24% 9% 28% 36% 26% 39% 30% 39% Favorability Miller Favorability 29% 30% 30% 26% 30% 18% 21% 17% 22% 17% 22% 16% 23% 17% 31% 16% 19% 15% 13% 20% 49% 53% 48% 57% 39% 66% 60% 68% 65% 63%
24 Favorability 33% 33% 33% 26% 41% 24% 21% 24% 30% 19% 43% 47% 43% 43% 41% Reid/ Reid 41% 60% 36% 52% 28% 51% 33% 57% 39% 57% 8% 7% 7% 9% 15% Reid/ Berkley/ Reid 42% 60% 37% 52% 35% Berkley 38% 58% 32% 52% 28% 50% 35% 56% 26% 56% 46% 33% 51% 26% 48% 8% 5% 7% 22% 9% 17% 9% 17% 22% 24%
25 Berkley/ Goodman/ Berkley 39% 56% 33% 61% 26% Goodman 42% 65% 36% 61% 28% 47% 37% 52% 22% 56% 40% 26% 45% 22% 48% 14% 7% 15% 17% 19% 18% 9% 20% 17% 24% Goodman/ Miller/ Goodman 41% 60% 35% 61% 26% Miller 34% 51% 28% 48% 26% 41% 28% 45% 22% 57% 44% 26% 49% 26% 50% 18% 12% 20% 17% 17% 23% 23% 22% 26% 24%
26 Miller/ Miller 34% 49% 30% 43% 26% 45% 30% 50% 17% 56% 22% 21% 20% 39% 19% Obama Approval Approve Disapprove 44% 49% 46% 42% 44% 52% 45% 50% 56% 51% 4% 6% 4% 2% 5% Obama Health Care Reid Approval Support 36% 41% 38% 32% 38% Approve 36% 31% 36% 36% 41% Oppose 54% 53% 48% 61% 51% Disapprove 58% 54% 56% 63% 55% No Opinion 10% 6% 14% 7% 12% 5% 15% 8% 1% 4%
27 Should Reid quit leadership? Yes No 42% 42% 42% 46% 35% 49% 39% 49% 48% 55% 9% 19% 9% 6% 10% Berkley Favorability 27% 33% 22% 27% 31% 27% 21% 29% 28% 26% 46% 46% 49% 45% 43% Goodm an Favorability 43% 37% 50% 39% 42% 21% 17% 19% 25% 21% 36% 45% 31% 36% 38% Favorability 29% 14% 28% 30% 38% 22% 15% 15% 28% 23% 49% 71% 58% 42% 38%
28 Miller Favorability 18% 24% 21% 15% 18% 16% 10% 11% 22% 14% 66% 66% 68% 63% 68% Favorability 33% 32% 33% 32% 36% 24% 15% 22% 28% 22% 43% 53% 45% 40% 42% Reid/Low den Reid/ Re id 41% 39% 41% 38% 46% Re id 42% 43% 41% 40% 46% 51% 49% 48% 58% 46% 50% 47% 49% 53% 47% 8% 11% 11% 4% 7% 8% 10% 10% 8% 7%
29 Berkley/Low den Berkley/ Be rk ley 38% 37% 38% 37% 38% Be rk ley 39% 41% 39% 36% 41% 46% 41% 44% 50% 43% 47% 44% 46% 51% 44% 17% 22% 17% 13% 19% 14% 15% 15% 13% 15% Goodman/ Goodman/ Goodm an 42% 39% 48% 39% 42% Goodm an 41% 39% 47% 37% 40% 40% 35% 36% 46% 38% 41% 40% 39% 43% 40% 18% 26% 16% 16% 20% 18% 21% 14% 20% 21%
30 Miller/Low den Miller/ Miller 34% 37% 35% 31% 34% Miller 34% 37% 35% 31% 35% 44% 32% 42% 50% 41% 45% 35% 43% 50% 42% 23% 31% 23% 19% 24% 22% 28% 22% 19% 23%
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