THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL

Transcription

1 THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered Voters

2 Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 64% 70% 69% 65% 66% 66% 63% 58% 64% 28% 21% 21% 26% 26% 27% 30% 27% 28% 8% 9% 11% 10% 8% 7% 6% 14% 9% 3/20/2014 8/28/ /11/2014 5/7/2015 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 8/17/2017 Right direction Unsure Wrong track Q1

3 August 13-17, 2017 / N=1,000 Registered voters/split sample A/B/ ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 55% 54% 54% 52% 67% 62% 60% 51% 56% 55% 64% 63% 62% 59% 72% 75% 73% 61% 59% 59% 57% 56% 57% 59% 54% 67% 64% 70% 69% 65% 66%66% 63% 64% 58% 40% 41% 40% 39% 4/8/10 12/1/09 7/1/09 9/1/06 2/1/06 10/1/05 3/1/05 10/1/04 8/1/04 6/1/04 38% 34% 28% 36% 32% 31% 31%29% 32% 28% 5/1/12 2/12/12 11/11/11 9/1/11 5/12/11 10/21/10 9/21/10 8/1/10 38% 39% 37% 37% 34% 33% 32% 8/12/12 12/6/12 11/5/12 10/18/12 9/27/12 9/20/12 24% 10/31/13 28% 21%21% 12/11/14 8/28/14 3/14/14 1/16/14 26% 26% 27% 30% 27% 28% 12/1/16 10/13/16 9/1/16 4/20/16 5/7/15 8/17/17 Right Direction Wrong Track Unsure Q1

4 Even though it is a long way off Thinking now about the elections for Congress that will be held in November 2018 If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate, in your district? Democrat 44% Republican 38% Undecided 18% Q2

5 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. John McCain 54% 35% 10% 1% Jeff Sessions 28% 37% 14% 21% Donald Trump 41% 55% 4% Mike Pence 42% 39% 8% 11% Paul Ryan 35% 46% 9% 10% Mitch McConnell 21% 47% 16% 17% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q3-8

6 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Robert Mueller 28% 15% 18% 39% Nancy Pelosi 33% 51% 9% 7% Chuck Schumer 27% 30% 14% 29% Kamala Harris 14% 9% 14% 63% Bernie Sanders 51% 38% 7% 4% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q9-13

7 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Donald Trump 65% 58% 61% 55% 32% 38% 49% 36% 45% 41% 3% 3% 2% 6% 4% 4/20/2016 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 8/17/2017 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q5

8 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Mike Pence 27% 25% 34% 44% 44% 31% 37% 42% 39% 14% 15% 10% 12% 7% 11% 8% 9/1/ /13/ /1/2016 8/17/2017 Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q6

9 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Paul Ryan 12/1/ % 36% 18% 11% 8/17/ % 46% 9% 10% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q7

10 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Mitch McConnell 12/1/ % 33% 25% 25% 8/17/ % 47% 16% 17% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q8

11 Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so. Bernie Sanders 12/1/ % 30% 11% 2% 8/17/ % 38% 7% 4% Favorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard of Q13

12 How would you rate the job Donald Trump has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 54% 43% 4% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q14

13 Do you think that Donald Trump has been effective as President in getting things done and making changes that will help working families? 55% 40% 5% Yes Unsure No Q15

14 I am going to read you a list of issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that Donald Trump has been doing on this issue. The economy 50% 6% 44% Foreign affairs 41% 6% 53% Dealing with North Korea 44% 5% 51% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q16-18

15 Do you approve or disapprove of the job that your Member of Congress is doing? 42% 46% 13% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q19

16 Do you think your Member of Congress has been too supportive of President Donald Trump or not supportive enough of President Trump, or just about right? 33% 31% 20% 16% Too supportive Not supportive enough Just about right Unsure Q20

17 Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people have said about Donald Trump. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with that statement. Donald Trump has been keeping his campaign promises. 51% 5% 44% Donald Trump is trying to make major reforms. Washington elites are to blame for the delay in passing some of these reforms. 52% 8% 40% Donald Trump has done a great job eliminating burdensome and unneeded federal regulations. 41% 8% 51% Agree Unsure Disagree Q21-23

18 Now, I would like to read you a list of statements that some people have said about Donald Trump. Please listen carefully as I read each statement and tell me if you would agree or disagree with that statement. Donald Trump s behavior is not what I expect from a President. 71% 3% 27% Donald Trump s words and actions could get us accidentally involved in an international conflict. 66% 4% 30% Donald Trump is doing too much for the wealthy and big corporations and not enough for our families. 54% 6% 40% Agree Unsure Disagree Q24-26

19 Now, thinking about issues facing this country I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Immigration 44% 46% 2% 4% 5% Tax reform 45% 40% 2% 6% 6% Jobs and economic development 47% 42% 2% 5% 5% Trade 49% 37% 3% 7% 5% National defense 54% 34% 3% 4% 6% GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure Q27-31

20 Now, thinking about issues facing this country I am going to read you a list of issues. Please listen as I read the list and tell me, for each one, whether you have more confidence in - the Republican Party, or the Democratic Party to deal with this issue. Dealing with North Korea 44% 40% 3% 7% 6% Climate change 24% 58% 2% 8% 8% Turning the economy around 48% 41% 2% 4% 5% Creating jobs 47% 40% 3% 5% 5% Health care reform 35% 50% 3% 8% 5% GOP Party DEM Party Both Neither Unsure Q32-36

21 Who do you think is most responsible for the fact that Congress has not passed any laws to improve our current health care system? Republicans in Congress, Democrats in Congress, OR President Trump? 33% 29% 17% Republicans in Congress Democrats in Congress President Trump Q37

22 In your view, is it a good thing or a bad thing that Congress did not repeal and replace the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare? 51% 41% 8% Good thing Unsure Bad thing Q38

23 As you may know, there is currently a special counsel investigating allegations that Russia attempted to influence the 2016 Presidential election and allegations that members of the Trump campaign were involved in this effort. Based on what you know about these allegations, which of these statements best describes your view: Members of the Trump campaign committed crimes and actively assisted Russia s efforts 31% Members of the Trump campaign behaved unethically but did not commit any crimes 21% Members of the Trump campaign behaved just as any campaign staffer would 37% Q39