Reflections on Religion, Identity, Crisis and War: New Theory and Data. Patrick James University of Southern California
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1 Reflections on Religion, Identity, Crisis and War: New Theory and Data Patrick James University of Southern California
2 Outline Religion, IR and CP Theorizing and Hypotheses RCS Dataset Final Thoughts
3 Religion, IR and CP Interest in religion and politics is on the rise Religion and IR section founded in ISA just a few years ago Rising concerns about religious extremism in the world But also interest in potential positive role Key gap: data for systematic analysis to assess role of religion
4
5 Theorizing and Hypotheses Religious beliefs come in packages of essential ethics and worldviews Religion is like ideology functional form Explains economic and political life Supplies standards for evaluation Provides identity Prescribes some degree of action Society will reflect values systems of principal religions
6 Theorizing and Hypotheses Democracy Proposition: States with demographics favoring a more authoritarian religion are less likely to be democratic than otherwise. Wealth Proposition: States dominated by religions favoring economic freedom (including irreligion) are wealthier than otherwise. Conflict Proposition: States with different religious demographics experience conflict at different rates.
7 RCS Dataset RCS (N = 6,721,574; ) on deposit with ARDA Davis Brown and Patrick James as co-investigators asp
8 RCS Dataset RCS meets four needs Annual observations Back to at least 1900 and even 1800 Digitized data Nuanced coverage
9 RCS Direct Observation Sources
10 RELIGIOUS Christian Christian Syncretic Jewish Mandaean Muslim Muslim Syncretic Zoroastrian Bahai Jain Sikh Hindu Buddhist Buddhist Syncretic Confucianist Shintoist Taoist Chinese Folk Religionist NOT RELIGIOUS Indigenous New Religionist Not Religious Unsp. Atheist Other Religionist
11 Christian Christian Unspecified Catholic Protestant (Broad) Protestant (Narrow) Quasi-Protestant Orthodox Other Non-Liminal Christian Liminal Christian
12 Christian Catholic Roman Catholic Latin Rites Non-Latin Rites Other Catholic
13 Christian Protestant (Broad) Protestant (Narrow) Protestant Unspecified Lutheran Reformed Anabaptist-Brethren-Pietist Baptist Adventist Wesleyan Multi-Denominational Other Protestant Quasi-Protestant Anglican Pentecostal
14 Christian Orthodox Orthodox Unsp. Oriental Orthodox Eastern Orthodox
15 Christian Liminal Christian Liminal Christian Unspecified Extra-Canonical Christian Mormon Other Extra-Canonical Christian Non-Trinitarian Christian Jehovah s Witness Unitarian Other Non-Trinitarian Christian Other Liminal Christian
16 Muslim Muslim Unspecified Sunni Shia Khariji (Ibadi) Other Non-Liminal Muslim Liminal Muslim
17 Muslim Muslim Sunni Shia Sunni Unspecified Twelver Hanafi 12er Unsp. Maliki Jafari Shafii Batini Hanbali Ismaili (Sevener) Other Sunni Zaydi Other Shia
18 Muslim Liminal Muslim Druze Ahmadi
19 Buddhist Buddhist Unspecified Theravada Mahayana Tibetan Other Buddhist
20 Indigenous Indigenous Unspecified Animist Shamanist Other Indigenous
21
22
23 Table 3. Logit regression of MID occurrence on religious demographics in dyad-year, Variable Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Lower Christian pct ** in dyad (.0027) Lower Muslim pct.0012 in dyad (.0043) Lower Buddhist Complex.0205** pct in dyad (.0065) Lower Not Religious pct.0285** in dyad (.0090) [unreported intra-regional controls all strongly positive & significant] Constant *** *** *** *** (.1294) (.1184) (.1128) (.1103) Observations 643, , , ,021 Clusters 16,263 16,082 16,263 15,934 * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<.001
24 Final Thoughts RCS can be used to test state-level propositions about IR and CP of great interest regime type, wealth and conflict Results for Conflict Proposition serve as starting point for discussion of global and regional patterns RCS can be integrated with standard research designs in IR and CP Future priority RCS and the study of civil strife
25
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