Survey of Iraqi Public Opinion October 23 30, 2010

Transcription

1 Survey of Iraqi Public Opinion October 23 30,

2 SURVEY METHODOLOGY

3 SURVEY METHODOLOGY Data collection was performed by trained employees of the International Republican Institute (IRI). The sample frame was based on the latest population estimates by the Iraq Central Organization for Statistics and Information Technology and a United Nations World Food Program survey. Consultative guidance on fieldwork and analysis was provided by of Princeton, New Jersey. The target population is Iraqi adults age 18 years and above. A stratified multi-stage sample procedure was used for interviewing. Population within provinces was broken down by districts and geography (urban/rural). Quotas were set by district and by geography within each district. Sample starting points were chosen within districts based by either going to the center of the mahala or to the largest mosque and dropping a pen or pencil on the ground and spinning it. The direction in which the pen/pencil pointed was the direction that the interviewing started. Every fourth dwelling on the left side of the nearest street was sampled until the quota was met. The Kish table method was used for actual respondent selection within each household. A total of 2,990 interviews were completed, with a response rate of 88 percent nationally. The margin of error is plus or minus 1.77 percent overall. Quotas were set by province to allow for provincial analysis and all 2,990 interviews have been weighted proportionally by province, region, gender, ethnicity and religion. Interviews were conducted between October 23-30, 2010.

4 SURVEY METHODOLOGY After the data was collected (2,990 interviews), provincial results were weighted in proportion to the national population. For example, Anbar represents 4.2 percent of the registered voters in Iraq; therefore the 176 interviews collected from Anbar were weighted to 4.2 percent of all interviews. Similar weighting was applied to each province to ensure that data are consistent with actual registered voter estimates and previous surveys. Gender in the survey was 72 percent male and 28 percent female. Gender was weighted to reflect the actual numbers in Iraq: 51 percent male and 49 percent female. In addition, weighting was applied to the Shia Arabs, Sunni Arabs and Kurd samples to reflect their estimated numbers in the population: 63 percent, 15 percent and 19 percent, respectively. Verification was performed on 10 percent of the sample, either by actual observation or through follow-up interviews. Figures in charts and tables may not sum to 100 percent due to rounding error; in all cases where Don't know/refuse to Answer rates are more than 10 percent, the information is displayed. When results are broken down by region, gender or religion, the percentage of the total sample is displayed. The information in this report has been compiled in accordance with international standards for market and social research methodologies.

5 SURVEY METHODOLOGY The survey analyzes data in six regions, as well as individual provinces: Region Governorates Sample Size / Margin of Error NATIONAL ALL 2,990 (2,991 weighted) / Kurdistan Region Erbil, Sulaymaniya, Dahuk 398 (409 weighted) / 4.91 Erbil 142 (146 weighted) / 8.22 Sulaymaniya 172 (173 weighted) / 7.47 Dahuk 84 (90 weighted) / Disputed Territories Ninawa and Kirkuk 384 (394 weighted) / 5.00 Ninawa 261 (269 weighted) / 6.07 Kirkuk 123 (125 weighted) / Northern Triangle Anbar, Salahhadin, Diyala 392 (367 weighted)/ 4.95 Anbar 176 (125 weighted) / 7.39 Salahhadin 94 (111 weighted) / Diyala 122 (131 weighted) / 8.87

6 SURVEY METHODOLOGY The survey analyzes data in six regions, as well as individual provinces: Region Governorates Sample Size / Margin of Error 4. Baghdad Governorate and Municipality 702 (726 weighted) / Southern Belt Babil, Karbala, Najaf, Maysan, Muthanna, Qadisiya, Dhi Qar, Wasit 849 (862 weighted) / 3.36 Babil 158 (152 weighted)/ 7.80 Karbala 88 (90 weighted) / Najaf 113 (111 weighted) / 9.22 Maysan 88 (90 weighted) / Muthanna 58 (60 weighted) / Qadisiya 97 (99 weighted) / 9.95 Dhi Qar 155 (158 weighted) / 7.87 Wassit 92 (102 weighted) / Basra Governorate and Municipality 221 (233 weighted) / 6.59

7 SIX REGIONS OF IRAQ 1. KURDISTAN REGION 2. DISPUTED TERRITORIES 3. NORTHERN TRIANGLE 4. BAGHDAD 5. SOUTHERN BELT 6. BASRA

8 SURVEY DEMOGRAPHICS Actual Poll Percentages Unweighted Male/Female Age Percent Male 72% Female 28% Education Percent Illiterate/No Formal Education Elementary/Intermediate 41% Religion Percent Secondary/Diploma 23% Higher than Sunni Muslim 34% Shia Muslim 45% Christian 2% Yezidi 2% Other/Refused to Answer 1 Ethnicity Percent Arab 78% Kurd Turkmen 3% Other/Refused to Answer 1%

9 SURVEY DEMOGRAPHICS Actual Poll Percentages Unweighted Regional Break Down by Ethnicity/Religion Region Sunni Arab Shia Arab Kurd Other Refused 44% 1 15% 5% Kurdistan Region 5% 1% 9 3% Disputed Territories 41% 24% 2 2% Northern Triangle 44% 22% 6% 1 Baghdad 23% 52% 2% 12% Southern Belt 5% 84% 2% 3% Basra 41% 44% 1%

10 NATIONAL INDICATORS

11 Would you describe the current economic situation in Iraq as very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? Regional % 2 25% 44% 26% 35% Good 23% Bad 3 8% 28% Kurdistan region () 1 28% Disputed territories 41% 6% 24% Northern triangle 32% 34% Baghdad (24%) 46% 25% Southern belt (2) 42% 3% Basrah (8%) Very good Somewhat good Very bad Somewhat bad

12 Would you describe the current economic situation in Iraq as very good, somewhat good, somewhat bad or very bad? June 2010 October % % 23% 6% Good Bad Good Bad Very good Somewhat good Very bad Somewhat bad

13 Over the last year, has your household financial situation gotten better, worse or stayed the same? 7 7 Regional % 15% 25% Better Same Worse 46% 22% 15% Kurdistan region () 11% Disputed territories 3 4% 5% 2 8% Northern triangle 33% 32% 13% Baghdad (24%) 42% 21% 1 Southern belt (2) 34% 3 3% Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse

14 Over the last year, has your household financial situation gotten better, worse or stayed the same? June 2010 October % 22% 4% 15% 1% 25% 15% Better Same Worse Don t know Better Same Worse Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse Don t know/ Refused

15 Thinking ahead to next year, do you expect your household financial situation to get better, worse or stay the same? 7 7 Regional % % 12% 25% 5% Better Same Worse Don t know/ Refused 24% 21% 8% 5% Kurdistan region () 16% 4% 1% Disputed territories 22% 11% 25% 25% 16% 1 4% 8% 12% 12% 13% 6% 4% Northern triangle Baghdad (24%) Southern belt (2) 35% 32% 3% 8% 16% Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse Don t know/ Refused

16 Thinking ahead to next year, do you expect your household financial situation to get better, worse or stay the same? June 2010 October % 38% 8% 1 8% 2% 5% Better Same Worse Don t know 12% 25% 5% Better Same Worse Don t know/ Refused Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse Don t know/ Refused

17 What degree of influence does have on you and your opinion on current events and politics? % % 42% 38% 32% 28% 26% 2% 2% 3% 11% 1 12% 1 8% 11% 1% A religious leader A tribal leader A union leader A political party leader The head of a household Strong influence Some influence No influence Don t know/ Refused

18 In your opinion, would you say things in Iraq are going in the right direction or in the wrong direction? % Regional 5 58% 62% 65% 4 44% 35% 33% 36% 35% 28% 2 Right direction Wrong direction Kurdistan region () () Disputed Northern territories triangle (12%) Baghdad Southern Basrah (24%) belt (8%) (24%) (2) (8%) Right direction Wrong direction

19 In your opinion, would you say things in Iraq are going in the right direction or in the wrong direction? ( break down by ethnicity/religion) June 2010 October % 68% 48% 52% 44% 56% % 3 52% 33% 62% Sunni Arab (15%) Shia Arab (63%) Kurd (1) Sunni Arab (15%) Shia Arab (63%) Kurd (1) Right direction Wrong direction

20 In your opinion, would you say things in Iraq are going in the right direction or in the wrong direction? 7 December 2009 June 2010 October % 43% 41% 35% Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction Right direction Wrong direction

21 Not personally, but in terms of Iraq, what in your opinion is the single biggest problem facing Iraq as a whole? Security 36% Basic services such as water and electricity 25% Unemployment 15% Government corruption 15% Living standards 4% Wages and saleries 2% Health care 1% Education 1% Don't know/ Refused 5% 15% 25% 35%

22 Not personally, but in terms of Iraq, what in your opinion is the single biggest problem facing Iraq as a whole? (Comparison) Regional % % 36% 25% 15% 15% 32% 22% 2 16% 13% 12% 8% 8% 11% 35% 35% 2 23% 22% 1 15% 11% Security Basic Unemployment services Government corruption Kurdistan region () Disputed territories Northern triangle Baghdad (24%) Southern belt (2) Basrah (8%)

23 Not personally, but in terms of Iraq, what in your opinion is the single biggest problem facing Iraq as a whole? (Comparison) 6 6 Ethnic 52% 36% 25% 15% 15% 22% 12% 31% 15% 2 26% 1 13% Security Basic services Unemployment Government corruption Sunni Arab (15%) Shia Arab (63%) Kurd (1)

24 Not personally, but in terms of Iraq, what in your opinion is the single biggest problem facing Iraq as a whole? 7 December 2009 June 2010 October % % 36% 23% 24% 25% 11% 8% Security Unemployment Unemployment Security Basic Government services corruption Basic services 8% Unemployment 2% Government corruption Security Basic services 15% 15% Government corruption

25 Over the last year, would you say that security in Iraq has gotten much better, gotten somewhat better, gotten somewhat worse, gotten much worse or stayed the same? 8 8 Regional % 48% 54% 46% 52% 46% 1 6% Better Same Worse 1 13% Kurdistan region () 1 16% 1 6% Disputed territories 13% 13% 15% 5% Northern triangle % Baghdad (24%) 11% 12% 5% Southern belt (2) 1 5% Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Somewhat worse Much worse

26 Over the last year, would you say that security in Iraq has gotten better or gotten worse? December 2009 June 2010 October % % % % Better Worse Better Worse Better Worse

27 ISSUES

28 Has the situation regarding electricity gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year? 9 9 Regional % 13% 25% 25% 23% 8% Better Same Worse 2 12% 5% 3% Kurdistan region () 2 Disputed territories 21% 2 28% 4% Northern triangle 33% 8% 6% 34% 1 Baghdad (24%) 32% 32% 1 4% Southern belt (2) >1% 8% 4 Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Much worse Somewhat worse

29 Has the situation regarding unemployment gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year? 8 8 Regional % 6 28% 1 25% 24% 33% 54% 41% 2 8% >1% Better Same Worse % 4% Kurdistan region () 4% 33% 24% Disputed territories 42% >1% >1% 4% Northern triangle 4% 26% Baghdad (24%) >1% 2 45% Southern belt (2) >1% 34% 24% Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Much worse Somewhat worse

30 Has the situation regarding government corruption gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year? Regional % 22% 13% 25% 8% 21% 48% >1% >1% 5% 5% Better Same Worse 1 24% 28% Kurdistan region () 36% 2 Disputed territories 2% 16% 54% Northern triangle >1% 5% 5 Baghdad (24%) >1% 5% 54% Southern belt (2) >1% 6% 25% 41% Basrah (8%) Much better Somewhat better Same Much worse Somewhat worse

31 Has the situation regarding wages and salaries gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year? 6 6 Regional 44% 26% 8% 6% Better Same Worse 2 8% Kurdistan region () 24% 52% 8% Disputed territories 24% 4% 2% 3 11% Northern triangle 43% 26% 5% 12% Baghdad (24%) 2 41% 6% 12% Southern belt (2) 26% 6% 52% Basrah (8%) 5% 2% Much better Somewhat better Same Much worse Somewhat worse

32 Has the situation regarding water and sewage gotten better, gotten worse or stayed the same over the last year? Regional % 45% 24% 12% 16% 1 23% 2 2 Better Same Worse 22% 8% 5% Kurdistan region () 44% Disputed territories 1 4% 34% 2 Northern triangle 1 28% 4% 3 Baghdad (24%) 25% 6% 23% Southern belt (2) >1% 36% Basrah (8%) 25% Much better Somewhat better Same Much worse Somewhat worse

33 If you have a problem regarding conditions in your area, where do you go first/second for assistance? Local/municipal council 42% Other 22% 26% Provincial council 13% 28% Iraqi Government officials 11% 13% Don't know 15% Refused 3% 4% 6 Go first for assistance Go second for assistance

34 If you have a problem regarding conditions in your area, where do you go second for assistance? 45% 41% 35% 32% 25% 15% 26% 15% 15% 16% 13% 23% 12% 24% 15% 5% 4% 4% 4% Sunni Arab (15%) Shia Arab (63%) Kurd (1) Local/ municipal council Provincial Council Iraqi Government officials Other Refused Don t know

35 If you could give your own practical advice about the single best way to improve security in your area, which advice would you give? Add more Iraqi soldiers to the area Other Better training for the Iraqi army Add more Iraqi police to the area Improve security checkpoints Better training for the Iraqi police Improve security walls/checkpoints Don t Don't know Know Strengthen relationships with neighborhood leaders Strengthen relationships with local groups Bring back US military patrols to the area Refused 1% 2% 6% 8% 8% 11% 12% 15% 2% 4% 6% 8% 12% 16%

36 If you could give your own practical advice about the single best way to improve public services in your area, which advice would you give? Provide more electricity/generators Less bureaucracy/corruption Improve road/traffic flow/checkpoints Other 11% Offer better personal access to local/ministry officials Repair water/sewer pipes and equiptment Improve health/hospitals/doctors/ambulances and other medical services 8% Don't know 4% Refused 1% 5% 15% 25% 35%

37 Do you agree that most of Iraq s oil revenues should go to the central government, not to the provinces? 9 9 Regional % 6 22% 6 13% 23% 1 28% 2 42% Agree 11% 1 Disagree 11% Kurdistan region () 41% 15% Disputed territories 4 12% 16% Northern triangle 5 Baghdad (24%) 41% 11% 13% Southern belt (2) 1 1 Basrah (8%) Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly disagree Somewhat disagree

38 Would you prefer that the provincial governments were stronger, or that the central government was stronger? 9 9 Regional % % 21% 25% 21% 11% Provincial government 41% Central government 62% Kurdistan region () 1 Disputed territories 4 Northern triangle 6 Baghdad (24%) 13% 1 Southern belt (2) 13% 53% Basrah (8%) Strongly prefer Somewhat prefer Strongly prefer Somewhat prefer Provincial government Central government

39 Thinking of Iraq s political life, would you prefer that politics be based on religion or on secularism? 9 9 Regional % Religion 21% 2 Secularism 6 61% 12% 6% Kurdistan region () 16% 12% 31% 35% Disputed territories 16% 13% 24% 43% Northern triangle 11% Baghdad (24%) 28% 31% 21% Southern belt (2) 31% 16% 24% 24% Basrah (8%) Strongly on religion Somewhat on religion Strongly on secularism S Somewhat on secularism

40 Thinking of Iraq's political life, would you prefer that politics be based on religion or on secularism? 8 8 Ethnic % Religion 21% 2 5% Secularism Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 16% 44% Sunni Arab (15%) 3% 2 26% 22% Shia Arab (63%) 6% 4 1 Kurd (1) 3% Strongly on religion Somewhat on religion Strongly on secularism Somewhat on secularism Don t know/ Refused

41 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the...? % 43% 3 15% 16% 21% 1 15% 21% 21% 35% 32% 5% 41% % 21% 32% 1 28% 1 31% 8% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove

42 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Government? 8 8 Regional % 3 28% 3 11% 35% 2 22% 1 16% 35% 28% 21% 21% 4% Approve Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 15% Kurdistan region () 24% 21% 2% Disputed territories 25% 23% 4% Northern triangle 22% 4% Baghdad (24%) 25% 13% 1% Southern belt (2) 15% 1 2% Basra (8%) Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

43 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Government? 8 8 Ethnic % 23% 44% 16% 21% 21% 4% Approve Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 1 22% 2% Sunni Arab (15%) 24% 16% 2 Shia Arab (63%) 2% Kurd (1) 3 11% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

44 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Army? Regional % 6 42% 6 44% 41% 43% 61% 11% 35% Approve 3% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Refused 34% 15% Kurdistan region () 13% 2% Disputed territories 34% 1 6% 2% Northern triangle 8% 2% Baghdad (24%) 4 2% Southern belt (2) 22% 5% 2% Basra (8%) Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

45 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Army? Ethnic % % 43% 33% 13% 35% Approve 3% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Refused 2 2% Sunni Arab (15%) 45% 4% 1% Shia Arab (63%) 28% Kurd (1) 12% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

46 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Police? 9 9 Regional % 43% 45% 3 46% 31% 54% Approve 3% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 2 15% Kurdistan region () 1 25% 8% 3% Disputed territories 33% 1% Northern triangle 11% 11% 2% Baghdad (24%) 43% 22% 3% 1% 1% Southern Basra belt (8%) (2) Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

47 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Iraqi Police? 9 9 Ethnic % 43% 44% 33% 13% Approve 3% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 23% 2% Sunni Arab (15%) 3 11% 5% 1% Shia Arab (63%) 1 26% Kurd (1) 11% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

48 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Kurdistan Regional Government? 9 9 Regional % 26% 16% Approve 32% 1 Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 55% 4% 3% Kurdistan region () 2 2 Disputed territories 15% 41% Northern triangle 12% 43% 1 Baghdad (24%) 13% 32% 24% Southern belt (2) 22% 2 Basra (8%) 13% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

49 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the Kurdistan Regional Government? 9 9 Ethnic % 6 15% 16% Approve 32% 1 Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 13% 4 Sunni Arab (15%) 1 11% 36% Shia Arab (63%) 21% 58% 4% Kurd (1) 3% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

50 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the new Iraqi Council of Representatives? 8 8 Regional % 23% 28% 52% 53% 5% Approve 41% 15% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 13% 25% 25% Kurdistan region () 24% 35% 5% 16% Disputed territories 3 6% 1 Northern triangle 13% 5% Baghdad (24%) 42% 12% 3% Southern belt (2) 8% 1% Basra (8%) 15% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

51 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the new Iraqi Council of Representatives? 8 8 Ethnic % 16% 5% Approve 41% 15% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Refused 21% 3% 41% Sunni Arab (15%) 15% 15% 4% 45% Shia Arab (63%) 13% 24% Kurd (1) 21% Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

52 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of the new Iraqi Council of Representatives? June 2010 October % % 3 25% 13% Approve 15% 22% 25% 23% 25% Disapprove Don't Don t Know know 5% Approve 41% 15% 15% Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

53 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of your province's provincial council? 9 9 Regional % 3 21% 21% 23% 33% 28% 24% 3 25% 5 Approve 2 Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused 32% 21% 11% 11% Kurdistan region () Disputed territories 21% 41% 26% 24% 15% 8% 11% 2% 3% 2% Northern Baghdad Southern Basra triangle (24%) belt (8%) (2) Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

54 Do you approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove or disapprove of your province's provincial council? 7 7 Ethnic % 22% 24% 35% Approve 2 Disapprove Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Refused 2 12% 31% Sunni Arab (15%) 6% 32% Shia Arab (63%) 4% 25% 13% Kurd (1) Approve Somewhat approve Disapprove Somewhat disapprove Don t know/ Refused

55 How confident are you that the parliament in Iraq will work well for the benefit of all Iraqi people? Regional % 1 35% 35% 36% 4 2 6% Confident 26% Not confident 34% 8% 2 Kurdistan region () 2 Disputed territories 5% 25% Northern triangle 26% 6% 28% Baghdad (24%) 33% 5% 21% Southern belt (2) 22% 1% 28% Basra (8%) Very confident Somewhat confident Not confident at all Not very confident

56 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with electricity? 7 7 Regional % 44% 24% 46% 26% 34% 32% 41% 26% 12% 1% 8% 12% 5% Kurdistan region () 16% 12% 8% Disputed territories 13% Northern triangle 1% 11% 1 Baghdad (24%) 1% 12% Southern belt (2) 15% 12% Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

57 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with security? Regional % 74% 7 63% 7 64% 62% % 4 16% 6% 2% 8% 8% 8% 4% Kurdistan region () 13% 8% 5% Disputed territories 6% Northern triangle 1% 16% 2% 3% 2% Baghdad (24%) 12% 8% 3% Southern belt (2) 22% 5% 6% Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

58 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with unemployment? % Regional % 45% 34% 3 43% 3 44% 2 42% 32% 48% 8% 11% 1% 12% 6% Kurdistan region () 1% 8% 1% Disputed territories Northern triangle 4% Baghdad (24%) 16% 1% Southern belt (2) 8% Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

59 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with government corruption? % Regional % 32% 4 31% 3 38% 43% 38% 32% 32% 41% 3 5% 13% 2% 3% 1% 2% 5% 4% 2% 4% 12% 13% 5% 3% Kurdistan region () Disputed territories Northern triangle Baghdad (24%) Southern belt (2) Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

60 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with wages and salaries? 8 8 Regional % 6 46% 52% 52% 52% 36% % 31% 4% 5% 1% 3%3% Kurdistan region () 3% 2% Disputed territories 6% 2% Northern triangle 4% 6% 1% Baghdad (24%) 4% 1% Southern belt (2) 2% Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

61 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with services like water, sewages, etc.? Regional 4 41% 34% 42% 44% 36% 21% 4% 6% 23% 8% 22% 1 5% 31% 3% 1 16% 3% 12% 15% 1 3% 26% 23% 13% Kurdistan region () Disputed territories Northern triangle Baghdad (24%) Southern belt (2) Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

62 Who do you think is responsible for the current situation with education? Regional 58% 48% 36% 35% 36% % 28% 26% 12% 2% 16% 5%5% 4% Kurdistan region () 4% 3%2% Disputed territories 16% 3% Northern triangle 12% 13% 1% Baghdad (24%) 8% 1% Southern belt (2) 3% Basra (8%) Prime Minister Council of Representatives Governor Provincial council District council

63 In your opinion, how likely is it that your provincial council or regional government will improve conditions in your area in terms of basic services, jobs and security? 8 8 Regional % 23% 5% Likely Not likely Don t know/ Refused 33% 44% 26% 5% 8% 8% 6% Kurdistan region () Disputed territories 42% 21% 24% Northern triangle 1 11% 5% Baghdad (24%) 53% 31% 12% 11% 2% Southern belt (2) 22% 6% 2% Basra (8%) Very likely Somewhat likely Not at all likely Not very likely Don t know/ Refused

64 Do you support your provincial council handling basic services, like water, sewage, electricity, garbage collection, and roads, instead of the federal government? % % Regional 64% 71% 65% % 26% 24% % 1 Yes No Don't Don t Know/ know/ Refused Kurdistan region () Disputed territories 8% Northern triangle Baghdad (24%) 2% Southern belt (2) Basra (8%) Yes No Don t know/ Refused

65 Law 21 mandates that laws shall be published in the provincial council Gazette and shall take effect on the date of their publication unless stipulated otherwise. Have you seen the Gazette produced by the {insert province} council? % 73% % 3% Sunni Arab (15%) 1% Shia Arab (63%) 16% 16% 8% Kurd (1) Yes No Refused Don t know

66 International Republican Institute 1225 Eye Street N.W. Washington, DC Witherspoon Street Princeton, NJ