The American Public and the Arab Awakening. April 11, 2011

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Transcription:

The American Public and the Arab Awakening April 11, 2011

Methodology Dates of Survey: April 1-5, 2011 Margin of Error: +/- 3.5 percentage points Sample Sizes: 802 Survey Method: Knowledge Networks probability-based online panel

Priority of US-Muslim World Relations Thinking about US interests, how important an issue is the US relationship with Muslims and Muslim majority countries? Most important / Top 3 / Top 5 3 15 43 61 Not among the top five issues 36

Views of Middle East Democratization Do you think that if the countries of the Middle East become more democratic this will be more positive or more negative for the US: Over the next few years More positive More negative 65 31 In the long run More positive More negative 76 19

What if Democratization Leads to Unfriendly Government? I would want to see a country become more democratic even if this resulted in the country being more likely to oppose US policies. Agree Disagree 57 40 9/05 48 39

Perceptions of Uprisings Do you think the popular uprisings in the Arab world are: More about Islamist groups seeking political power 15 More about ordinary people seeking freedom and democracy 45 Both equally 37

Are Islam and Democracy Compatible? Which position is closer to yours? It is possible for Islamic countries to be democratic 56 Democracy and Islam are incompatible 41 9/05 55 34

* Trends from Gallup Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Views of Arab Nations What is your overall opinion of each of the following countries: Favorable Unfavorable Saudi Arabia 2/11* 2/10* Syria 2/07* Egypt 2/11* 2/10* 44 51 37 53 35 58 32 61 21 66 60 33 40 50 58 29

Views of Arab People What is your overall opinion of each of the following groups of people: Favorable Arab people in general Unfavorable 56 38 People of Egypt 70 24 People of Saudi Arabia 57 37

Effect of Uprisings on Views of Arab World Sadat/PIPA, April 2011 Increased Decreased Your level of sympathy for the Arab people 39 6 Your sense of how similar the aspirations of the Arab people are to yours 33 9

26 Yemen 24 Bahrain 21 Jordan 21 Saudi Arabia 21 US Position Toward Uprisings In responding to the popular uprisings in the following countries, do you think the US should: Express support for demonstrators Syria Not take a position 69 68 65 66 68 Express support for government 6 7 10 4 5 Sadat/PIPA, April 2011

Compatibility of Muslim and Western Cultures Thinking about Muslim and Western cultures, do you think that: It is possible to find common ground between them 59 Violent conflict between them is inevitable 41

Support for Action on Libya As you may know, the U.S. military and other countries have begun cruise missile and air strikes in Libya in order to protect civilians from attacks by Qaddafi's forces. Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. and other countries taking this military action in Libya? Approve 54 Disapprove 43 3/11* 68 26 If the air campaign does not succeed in protecting civilians from attacks by Qaddafi s forces, would you support or oppose the US and other countries providing arms to the Libyan rebels? Support 36 59 Oppose * CBS News poll Sadat/PIPA, April 2011

Approach to Israeli-Palestinian Conflict In its efforts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, what position do you believe the US should take? Lean toward Lean toward Lean toward the Israel neither side Palestinians 27 65 5 11/10 25 67 2

Administration Efforts on Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Which of the following is closest to your view of the Obama Administration s diplomatic efforts to resolve the Palestinian-Israeli conflict? Not trying hard enough Efforts are at the right level Trying too hard 26 41 28 11/10 30 41 21

Effect of Uprisings on Views of Arab World Increased Decreased Your level of sympathy for the Arab people 29 27 26 33 39 Your sense of how similar the aspirations of the Arab people are to yours Your optimism that peaceful change is possible in the Arab world Your optimism about relations between the US and the Arab world Your sense of how widespread religious fanaticism is among Arabs 24 9 17 9 6