The First Poll Of Iraqi Public Opinion Conducted by Zogby International
Interviews were conducted in Basra, Karkouk, Mousel and Al Ramadi.
Methodology Zogby International conducted interviews of 600 adults chosen at random with consideration of ethnic backgrounds, gender, religion and social class, throughout locations in Iraq. Interviews were conducted August 3-19, 2003 in Basra, Karkouk, Mousel and Al Ramadi. The ethnic groups (Arabs, Kurds, Turkaman, and Assyrians) were interviewed, in addition to the religious groups (Shiaa, Sunni and Christians). Interviewers traveled to public places (shopping areas and coffee shops) chosen from different social neighborhoods. The survey's margin of sampling error is +/- 4.1%.
Do you think that Iraq will be a much better country, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now?
Do you think that Iraq will be a much better country, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now? Not Sure 9.7% A lot worse 7.4% Much better 31.7% Somewhat worse 13.2% Somewhat better 38.0%
Do you think that Iraq will be a much better country, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now? 90 80 77.4 77.8 70 66.9 69.3 69.9 70.8 66.6 70.2 67.6 69.3 70.1 60 50 40 33.3 30 20 14.2 23.1 20 20.7 22.9 20.4 22.7 11.2 20.5 20.7 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Better Worse
Do you believe that you personally will be much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now?
Do you believe that you personally will be much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now? Not Sure 14.9% A lot worse 5.3% Much better 31.7% Somewhat worse 8.8% Somewhat better 39.2%
Do you believe that you personally will be much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse or a lot worse five years from now? 90 80 70 76.6 68.8 68.3 73.9 67.4 71.3 69.7 75 72.7 69.2 60 50 40 33.3 30 20 10 11.4 15.5 14.6 14.2 12.3 14 14.8 11.1 10.7 17.7 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female 0 Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Better Worse
In your own view, what will be harder: rebuilding Iraq economically or rebuilding Iraq politically?
In your own view, what will be harder: rebuilding Iraq economically or rebuilding Iraq politically? Not Sure 10.6% Economically 22.4% Politically 67.0%
In your own view, what will be harder: rebuilding Iraq economically or rebuilding Iraq politically? 90 80 70 66.5 68.2 65.8 66.9 73.5 66.7 65.1 67.9 77.8 70.5 63.5 60 50 40 30 20 26.3 19.6 26 21.5 25.2 19.1 16.7 18.5 26.4 12.2 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Economically Politically
Which of the following statements, A or B, comes closer to your view? A: Democracy can work well in Iraq. B: Democracy is a Western way of doing things and it will not work here.
Which of the following statements, A or B, comes closer to your view? A: Democracy can work well in Iraq. B: Democracy is a Western way of doing things and it will not work here Not Sure 10.6% Democracy can work well in Iraq 38.6% Democracy is a Western way of doing things and it will not work here 50.8%
Which of the following statements, A or B, comes closer to your view? A: Democracy can work well in Iraq. B: Democracy is a Western way of doing things and it will not work here 80 70 66.7 60 57.2 57.4 59.2 50 40 46.3 47.5 35.7 52.6 44.4 40.9 34.7 34 33.3 45 46.2 50 41.7 35.2 51.2 50.3 42.1 30 26.8 20 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender A B
If you were asked to name one foreign country you would like Iraq to model its new government on, which one of the following countries would you choose? Syria Saudi Arabia The United States Iran Egypt Other None/not sure
If you were asked to name one foreign country you would like Iraq to model its new government on, which one of the following countries would you choose? None/Not Sure 21.9% Syria 11.9% Saudi Arabia 17.4% Other 15.4% Egypt 7.1% Iran 3.1% The United States 23.3%
If you were asked to name one foreign country you would like Iraq to model its new government on, which one of the following countries would you choose? 90 80 77.8 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 38 33.3 33.3 29.5 27.3 22.7 23.7 19 19.7 18.5 19.5 18.3 18.2 18 14.815.6 12.9 13.5 13 11.5 11.1 11.7 9.2 8.5 7.4 6.5 7.4 7.3 4.5 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 4.1 2.3 26.4 19.620.3 15.2 11.6 12.3 5.5.6 6.5 7.6 4 2 2.8 2.2 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Syria Saudi Arabia The United States Iran Egypt
Should America and Britain help make sure a fair government is set up in Iraq, or should they just let Iraqis work this out themselves?
Should America and Britain help make sure a fair government is set up in Iraq, or should they just let Iraqis work this out themselves? Not Sure 7.8% America and Britain help 32.3% Iraqis alone 59.9%
Should America and Britain help make sure a fair government is set up in Iraq, or should they just let Iraqis work this out themselves? 90 80 80 70 60 60.8 58.3 56.4 63.9 52.2 66.7 58.5 69.6 58.7 61.1 50 40 32.4 33.1 37.4 39.1 33.3 35.5 32.1 32.4 30 27.1 20 19.2 14.3 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender America and Britain help Iraqis alone
Given a choice, would you like to see the American and British forces leave Iraq in six months, one year, or two years or more?
Given a choice, would you like to see the American and British forces leave Iraq in six months, one year, or two years or more? Not Sure 9.5% 6 mo 31.6% 2+ yrs 25.0% 1 yr 34.0%
Given a choice, would you like to see the American and British forces leave Iraq in six months, one year, or two years or more? 90 80 77.8 70 66.7 60 50 40 30 20 33.1 41.7 18.9 31.6 30.6 27.1 28.9 33.8 25.9 35.4 32.5 23.8 36.2 27.7 27.7 33.3 35.2 33.4 21.9 30.5 38.5 20.7 27.9 33 29.3 35.3 34.9 20.7 10 5.6 11.1 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender 6 mo 1 yr 2+ yrs
Should Iraq have an Islamic government, or should the government let everyone practice their own religion?
Should Iraq have an Islamic government, or should the government let everyone practice their own religion? Not Sure 6.8% Islamic govt 32.9% Practice own religion 60.3%
Should Iraq have an Islamic government, or should the government let everyone practice their own religion? 100 94.4 90 80 70 60 63.4 61.1 62.4 58.8 61.2 66.7 65.9 58.7 62 50 48.8 45.6 40 30 29.7 31.7 29.3 35.4 32.7 33.3 26.5 35 30.8 20 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Islamic Government Practice own religion
Over the last four weeks, how many times did you participate in the Friday prayer: never, once, twice, three times, or four times?
Over the last four weeks, how many times did you participate in the Friday prayer: Not Sure 3.4% 4 31.7% Never 42.6% 3 5.0% 2 6.0% 1 11.4%
Over the last four weeks, how many times did you participate in the Friday prayer: 60 52.6 55 55.4 56.2 50 47.8 43.2 43.1 44.4 40 39.5 38.9 33.2 33.3 33.3 33.3 34.3 30 29.3 25.1 21 20 10 14.8 10.5 7.4 7.7 8.1 5.7 3.8 3.8 4.3 17.5 13.8 12.5 7.5 6.7 4.6 5 17.1 16.1 8.4 6.2 2.8 3.3 2.3 10.7 7.4 5.6 18.7 12 4.5 4.5 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Never 1 2 3 4
Is your opinion of Osama bin Laden very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable or you are not familiar enough to know?
Is your opinion of Osama bin Laden... Not Sure 4.4% Not Familiar 13.1% Very Favorable 22.2% Somewhat Favorable 13.6% Very Unfavorable 34.0% Somewhat Unfavorable 12.7%
Is your opinion of Osama bin Laden... 100 90 94.5 80 70 67 66.7 65.3 60 50 40 41.2 40.2 33.7 45.2 37.3 47.3 34.1 51.1 33.3 56.6 41.5 38.4 33.1 52.1 30 20 10 17.9 10.4 14.3 16.2 11.6 8.5 20.8 17.9 23.7 7.4 15.4 10.7 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female 0 Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Favorable Unfavorable Not Familiar
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war?
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Not Sure 6.5% Yes 29.8% No 63.7%
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? 120 100 100 80 60 68.7 58.1 73.5 51.6 79.7 80.6 65.3 62 42 40 25.8 34 24.5 27.4 32.3 20 12.4 19.4 0 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Yes No
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in war or by security forces during the years that Saddam Hussein held power?
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in war or by security forces during the years that Saddam Hussein held power? Not Sure 4.3% No 45.5% Yes 50.2%
Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in war or by security forces during the years that Saddam Hussein held power? 100 90 88.9 80 70 66.7 66.7 60 50 54.1 42.5 47.9 48.3 44.9 42.9 60.4 49.8 50.5 44.2 46.8 40 30 33.3 31.3 30.9 20 10 11.1 0 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Yes No
Should Ba'ath Party leaders who committed crimes in the past be punished, or should past actions be put behind us?
Should Ba'ath Party leaders who committed crimes in the past be punished, or should past actions be put behind us? Not Sure 8.2% Put past behind us 17.8% Punish leaders who committed abuses 74.0%
Should Ba'ath Party leaders who committed crimes in the past be punished, or should past actions be put behind us? 100 90 88.8 82.6 80 70 67.8 72.1 75.9 73.5 66.7 65.9 73.6 74.4 60 50 44.4 50 40 33.3 30 20 10 6.1 23 18 17.8 14.3 9.9 24.9 16.5 19.2 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Punish leaders who committed abuses Put past behind us
Over next five years will - Iran - help Iraq, hurt Iraq, or have no influence on life in Iraq?
Over next five years will - Iran Not Sure 4.7% Help Iraq 21.6% No influence 20.1% Hurt Iraq 53.6%
Over next five years will - Iran 90 80 80.6 70 66.7 60 50 50.6 54.1 47.4 57.3 57.1 46.8 59.7 49.5 57.6 40 32.6 32.2 30 20 14 17.4 23 23.9 23.9 20.4 20.4 18.5 14.3 16.7 26.4 16.7 18.9 24.3 24.4 15.9 10 8.3 2.8 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Help Iraq Hurt Iraq No influence
Over next five years will - Saudi Arabia - help Iraq, hurt Iraq, or have no influence on life in Iraq?
Over next five years will -Saudi Arabia Not Sure 3.9% No influence 28.0% Help Iraq 60.7% Hurt Iraq 7.4%
Over next five years will -Saudi Arabia 80 70 60 63.5 58.3 60.6 60.8 66.7 64.6 64.3 60.2 68.2 53.3 50 44.4 40 30 28.1 28.5 25.1 30.3 25 33.3 25.7 28.7 33.3 22.2 32 24 20 10 6.2 8.2 10 5.1 8.3 7 5.6 9.7 5.1 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Help Iraq Hurt Iraq No influence
Over next five years will - The United States - help Iraq, hurt Iraq, or have no influence on life in Iraq?
Over next five years will -The United States No influence 9.7% Not Sure 4.7% Help Iraq 35.5% Hurt Iraq 50.1%
Over next five years will -The United States 90 80 83.3 70 66.7 65.3 60 53 53.7 55.6 50 40 30 41 39.3 34.1 41.8 45.7 31.1 47.9 33.3 33.3 34.9 45.3 28.2 37.5 44.9 33.3 20 10 14 8.7 9.1 10.2 10.4 14 3.7 5.6 5.6 11 8.4 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Help Iraq Hurt Iraq No influence
Over next five years will - The United Nations - help Iraq, hurt Iraq, or have no influence on life in Iraq?
Over next five years will -The United Nations Not Sure 5.7% No influence 25.3% Help Iraq 50.4% Hurt Iraq 18.6%
Over next five years will -The United Nations 100 90 86.1 80 70 60 59 56 58.7 50.7 50.2 50 47.1 47.1 45.8 40 30 20 28.1 24.7 24.1 22.6 15.1 21 26.4 18.8 22.9 33.3 33.3 33.3 24.1 31.231.630.7 15.7 25.7 24.9 21.5 11.9 10 7.9 5.6 2.8 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Help Iraq Hurt Iraq No influence
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the establishment of the Iraqi Interim Governing Council?
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the establishment of the Iraqi Interim Governing Council? Not sure 6% Strongly oppose 12% Strongly support 23% Somew hat oppose 24% Somew hat support 35%
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the establishment of the Iraqi Interim Governing Council? 80 70 66.7 68.1 60 50 60.8 58 55.5 60.5 55.3 43.7 50.2 52.8 56.4 59.7 40 35.8 35.4 39.3 33.7 36.1 33.3 33.3 36.6 35.8 30 27.5 20 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Support Oppose
Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that the Interim Governing Council fairly represents all segments of Iraqi society?
Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that the Interim Governing Council fairly represents all segments of Iraqi society? Not sure 6% Strongly disagree 9% Strongly agree 26% Som ew hat disagree 22% Somew hat agree 37%
Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that the Interim Governing Council fairly represents all segments of Iraqi society? 80 72.3 70 60 61 64.4 63.8 64.6 54.1 66.6 67.2 56.7 65.1 61.7 50 40 30 33.9 29 29.3 30.8 35.4 33.3 28.4 36.7 27.9 33.4 20 13.9 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Agree Disagree
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the involvement of Arab forces to preserve the peace and security in Iraq?
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the involvement of Arab forces to preserve the peace and security in Iraq? Not sure 5% Strongly oppose 20% Strongly support 25% Somew hat oppose 19% Somew hat support 31%
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the involvement of Arab forces to preserve the peace and security in Iraq? 80 70 60 50 40 51.2 42.4 57.9 38.4 55.3 41.7 58.1 35.8 54.2 41.7 66.7 33.3 51.2 43.7 63.3 32.5 69.5 59.4 35.4 54 41.9 30 25 20 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Support Oppose
Which of the following parties do you think provides the best option for preserving security and restoring order in Iraq?
Which of the following parties do you think provides the best option for preserving security and restoring order in Iraq? Not sure 8% US forces only 7% US and international by UN 26% Iraqi military and police only 44% UN only 15%
Which of the following parties do you think provides the best option for preserving security and restoring order in Iraq? 80 70 66.7 69.4 60 53.9 50 45.8 44 49.2 44.9 45.8 47.9 40 30 20 10 0 8.4 26.8 27.5 10.1 5.8 7.7 31.8 15.7 15.9 38.2 6 22.5 14 2 32.7 33.3 5.5 31.6 12.2 11.6 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender 6.9 12.4 20.7 11.1 5.6 13.9 8.3 27.4 18.2 35.6 4.7 26.3 10.8 US forces only US and international by UN UN only Iraqi military and police only
Which of the following statements best describes your opinion of the attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq?
Which of the following statements best describes your opinion of the attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq? Not sure 13% Individual operations for personal regions 10% Designed & executed by Hussein loyalists 29% Resistance operations 48%
Which of the following statements best describes your opinion of the attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq? Not sure 13% Individual operations for personal regions 10% Designed & executed by Hussein loyalists 29% Resistance operations 48%
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is negative and 5 is positive, which of the following describes the way the U.S. military have dealt with Iraqi civilians?
On a scale of 1 to 5, where 1 is negative and 5 is positive, which of the following describes the way the U.S. military have dealt with Iraqi civilians? Not sure 3% Positive 17% 4 3% Negative 48% Neutral 22% 2 7%
Which of the following describes the way the U.S. military have dealt with Iraqi civilians? 80 70 65.5 72.2 60 50 54.8 53.4 47.8 59.1 58.7 52.6 50 59.2 40 30 20 10 27.7 13 19.4 24.5 23.5 24.7 22 15.7 15.2 23.9 33.3 33.3 30.1 13.4 11.7 9.9 8.3 19.4 24.1 21.8 22.4 15.6 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? 0 Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Negative Neutral Positive
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Kuwait
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Kuwait Not sure 2% Strongly disagree 19% Som ew hat disagree 9% Strongly agree 42% Somew hat agree 28%
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Kuwait 90 80 70 76.2 70.9 71.7 71.4 66.7 68.7 76 72.2 73.9 68.7 60 56.9 50 41.9 40 30 20 21.7 27.5 26.6 26.5 33.3 30.7 20.8 27.7 23.8 30.3 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Agree Disagree
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Iran
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Iran Not sure 2% Strongly disagree 25% Strongly agree 23% Som ew hat disagree 19% Somew hat agree 31%
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Iran 80 75 70 66.7 60 50 52.6 45.3 53.9 44 58.8 51.1 47.3 42.9 55.1 62 45.2 51.1 56.1 41.9 50.8 46.5 40 37.7 33.3 36.6 30 25 20 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Agree Disagree
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Turkey
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Turkey Not sure 3% Strongly disagree 15% Strongly agree 32% Som ew hat disagree 14% Somew hat agree 36%
It is possible to establish normal state to state relationships between Iraq and Turkey 120 100 100 88.9 80 78.2 65.7 73 64.7 71.4 76.3 64.7 72.7 60 53.9 42.9 40 31.7 31.7 31.7 20 16.8 24.5 22.4 20.3 11.1 24.2 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? 0 Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Agree Disagree
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the exclusion of former Ba'ath Party members from participating in Iraq politics?
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the exclusion of former Ba'ath Party members from participating in Iraq politics? Strongly oppose 11% Not sure 4% Somew hat oppose 11% Strongly support 51% Somew hat support 23%
Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the exclusion of former Ba'ath Party members from participating in Iraq politics? 90 80 70 81 71.5 68.6 79.3 69.3 66.7 78.3 71.5 75.3 73.4 60 58.3 50 40 33.33 38.9 30 20 16.8 24.6 26.2 18.4 22.5 18.3 24.4 20.5 23.2 10 0 Yes No 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Shiite Sunni Christian Male Female Were any of your own family members, neighbors, or friends killed in this spring's war? Age Group Religious Affiliation Gender Support Oppose
The First Poll Of Iraqi Public Opinion Conducted by Zogby International