PROPOSED TIER 1 TAZ SYSTEM

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July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 PROPOSED TIER 1 TAZ SYSTEM 2010 NYBPM and TH-TDFM Updates

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 2 Zone Systems in BPM Three developed systems Tier 0 / NYMTC NYBPM 2005: Total zones = 3697; Internal zones = 3586; External zones = 111; Special Generators = 4(NY)+7(NJ) Tier 1 / TH-TDFM: Total zones =3924; Internal zones = 3813 External zones = 111; Special Generators = 4(NY)+7(NJ) Tier 2 / (?): Total zones =3629; Internal zones = 4518 External zones = 111; Special Generators = 4(NY)+7(NJ)

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 3 Special Generators New York South Brooklyn Marine Terminal Red Hook Marine Terminal JFK Airport Stewart Airport Howland Hook New Jersey Newark Airport (1 +1added) Port Elizabeth Port Newark Port Jersey (added) MOTBY (added) added Park and Ride : Vince Lombardi PNR North Bergen PNR

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 4 Latest inputs for updating the BPM Zone System: Comments from PANYNJ NJ zones should be built from NJTPA zones or their aggregations In some parts of Newark, NYBPM zones are smaller than NJTPA they should be aggregated to match NJTPA zones In Outer-NJ area, keep NJTPA details near transit stations and aggregate away from transit stations 2010 Census Tracts definitions TAZ in NY area are currently based on the 2000 Census tract boundaries 2010 vs. 2000 Census Tracts

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 5 Finalize Tier 1 Zone System for both TH-TDFM and NYBPM 2010 Model Updates I. Review NYBPM Tier1 Zone system in New Jersey Review TAZ borders of NYBPM vs. NJTPA in NJ area Review TAZ size of NYBPM vs. NJTPA in NJ area Aggregated NYBPM TAZ in NJ Prime and Outer areas II. Review NYBPM Tier 1 Zone system in New York Review 2010 vs. 2000 Census Tracts in NY area NYBPM Tier 1 TAZ vs. 2000 Census Tracts in NY area III. Review NYBPM Tier 1 Zone system in Manhattan Evaluate and select TAZ zones for split in Manhattan Recommendations on split existing TAZ in Manhattan

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 6 Finalize Tier 1 Zone System for both TH-TDFM and NYBPM 2010 Model Updates I. Review NYBPM Tier1 Zone system in New Jersey Review TAZ borders of NYBPM vs. NJTPA in NJ area Review TAZ size of NYBPM vs. NJTPA in NJ area Aggregated NYBPM TAZ in NJ Prime and Outer areas

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 7 Commuter Rail TAZ: Tier 1 (Solid Green) & NJTPA (Dashed Violet)

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 8 Commuter Rail TAZ: Tier 1 (Solid Green) & NJTPA (Dashed Violet)

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 9 Latest inputs for updating the BPM Zone System: Comments from PANYNJ NJ zones should be built from NJTPA zones or their aggregations In some parts of Newark, NYBPM zones are smaller than NJTPA they should be aggregated to match NJTPA zones In Outer-NJ area, keep NJTPA details near transit stations and aggregate away from transit stations (?) Do not change this time 2010 Census Tracts definitions TAZ in NY area are currently based on the 2000 Census tract boundaries 2010 vs. 2000 Census Tracts

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 10 Tier1 TAZ in New Jersey Proposed TAZ Split based on Auto Trip Ends

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 11 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Proposed TAZ Split based on Auto Trip Ends

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 12 Aggregated zones in NJ 21 BPM zones aggregated in P-NJ and O-NJ into 10 zones matching NJTPA zones

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 13 Finalize Tier 1 Zone System for both TH-TDFM and NYBPM 2010 Model Updates II. Review NYBPM Tier 1 Zone system in New York Review 2010 vs. 2000 Census Tracts in NY area NYBPM Tier 1 TAZ vs. 2000 Census Tracts in NY area

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 14 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts New York City

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 15 Tier1 TAZ and 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts New York City

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 16 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts Manhattan, Bronx, and Queens

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 17 Tier1 TAZ and 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts Manhattan, Bronx, and Queens

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 18 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts Rockland and Westchester

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 19 Tier1 TAZ and 2010 over 2000 Census Tracts Rockland and Westchester

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 20 Finalize Tier 1 Zone System for both TH-TDFM and NYBPM 2010 Model Updates III. Review NYBPM Tier 1 Zone system in Manhattan Evaluate and select TAZ zones for split in Manhattan Recommendations on split existing TAZ in Manhattan

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 21 Purpose and Criteria for zone split What we achieve by zone split More realistic representation of land use Better distribution of traffic on local street network Better representation of access to transit network Criteria for selecting zone to split Large number of auto trips (~25,000+ in Manhattan) Large number of person trips (~70,000+ in Manhattan) Abnormally large size does not correspond to land use structure Evaluation based on number of future year trips

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 22 Auto Trips by TAZ Tier 0 Zones with highest number of Trips

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 23 Auto Trips by TAZ Tier 0 over Tier 1 Zones with highest number of Trips

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 24 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Zones considered for Split

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 25 Transit and Auto trips Using Auto Trip Ends for evaluation How different is distribution of Total (Transit and Auto) Trip Ends by TAZ?

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 26 Auto and Transit Trips by TAZ Zones with highest number of Trips

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 27 Transit and Auto trips Transit and auto trips in Manhattan generally correlate with each other Auto trips distribution define local traffic flows Transit trips - pedestrian flows

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 28 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Zones considered for Split

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 29 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Zones selected for Split

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 30 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Proposed TAZ Split based on Auto Trip Ends

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 31 TAZ Selection by Highway Trips Proposed TAZ Split based on Auto Trip Ends

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 32 What changed in Manhattan zone system? Before Split: 15 TAZ zones selected for split in Mid-town Manhattan based on number of auto trips, size and correspondence to underlying land use structure. Total zones in Manhattan = 318 After Split: 32 smaller TAZ zones in Mid-Town Manhattan replace larger zones. More realistically represent land use structure, highway/street network, and transit access/egress Total zones in Manhattan = 325

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 33 MORE TAZ SPLITS IN NYC? TAZ split candidates outside Manhattan

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 34 Auto Trips by TAZ Other Potential Areas for TAZ Split in NYC Queens: -Long Island City, -Willets Point; Brooklyn: -Downtown, -Red Hook, -Along 3 rd Avenue NYC Zones with highest number of Trips

July 26, 2012 NYBPM Base Year Update & Validation - 2010 35 QUESTIONS?