Can Tunisia Navigate the Cross-Currents of the Muslim World?

Similar documents
The domino effect: Tunisia, Egypt Who is next?

Regional Issues. Conflicts in the Middle East. Importance of Oil. Growth of Islamism. Oil as source of conflict in Middle East

Tunisia s Islamists Struggle to Rule

Barack Obama and the Middle East

Remarks of Stuart E. Eizenstat

Palestine and the Mideast Crisis. Israel was founded as a Jewish state in 1948, but many Palestinian Arabs refused to recognize it.

Arab-Israeli conflict

Israeli-Palestinian Arab Conflict

Policy Workshop of the EU-Middle East Forum (EUMEF) Middle East and North Africa Program. Deconstructing Islamist Terrorism in Tunisia

Is the Iranian Regime Collapsing?

Syria's Civil War Explained

II. From civil war to regional confrontation

GLOBAL EXPOSURE AUGUST 2012

Craig Charney Presentation to Center for Strategic and International Studies Washington, DC January 26, 2012

Introduction to Islam, SW Asia & North Africa

22.2 THE EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN. Birthplace of three major world religions Jerusalem:

Arab-Israeli Conflict. Early beginnings : 19 th century to 1947

Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No October 2011

Syria's Civil War Explained

Introduction. Definition of Key Terms. Security Council. The Question of Yemen. Student Officer: Humna Shahzad

ARAB SPRING OR ARAB AWAKENING PART 1. By SIDDHANT AGNIHOTRI B.Sc (Silver Medalist) M.Sc (Applied Physics) Facebook: sid_educationconnect

DIA Alumni Association. The Mess in the Middle East August 19, 2014 Presented by: John Moore

2-Provide an example of an ethnic clash we have discussed in World Cultures: 3-Fill in the chart below, using the reading and the map.

THE ISIS CHALLENGE IN LIBYA

Egypt s Fateful Verdict

Playing With Fire: Pitfalls of Egypt s Security Tactics


The Palestinian-Israeli Pulse: A Joint Poll

Hamas Has Its Sights on the West Bank Pinhas Inbari

Polls. Palestinian Center for POLICY and SURVEY. 9 December Survey Research Unit PRESS RELEASE. Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No (54)

US Iranian Relations

THE MIDDLE EAST IN CURRENT AMERICAN DIPLOMACY. Ambassador Frank G. Wisner Vice-Chair of External Affairs for the American International Group (AIG)

Oil in the Middle East

Syria's Civil War Explained

Interview with the Ambassador of Palestine in Athens, Marwan Emile Toubassi

Professor Shibley Telhami,, Principal Investigator

replaced by another Crown Prince who is a more serious ally to Washington? To answer this question, there are 3 main scenarios:

Poll s املركز الفلسطيين للبحوث السياسية واملسحية. Palestinian Center for POLICY and SURVEY RESEARCH. Survey Research Unit.

War in Afghanistan War in Iraq Arab Spring War in Syria North Korea 1950-

SIMULATION : The Middle East after the territorial elimination of the Islamic state in Iraq and Syria

Overview. The events of the Great Return March, which started on March 30, 2018, are expected to

The Arab Spring Five Years Later

Polls المركز الفلسطيني للبحوث السياسية والمسحية

November Guidelines for the demilitarization of Gaza and a long-term arrangement in the South. MK Omer Barlev

Polls املركز الفلسطيين للبحوث السياسية واملسحية. Palestinian Center for POLICY and SURVEY. 21 March2016. Survey Research Unit PRESS RELEASE

The Gaza Strip: A key point in the Israeli- Palestinian conflict

ARAB BAROMETER SURVEY PROJECT YEMEN REPORT

Syria's Civil War Explained

No Peace in the Middle East. Monday, April 24, 2017

Comment - The Damascus December 2009 Bus Explosion December 7, 2009 Alessandro Bacci reports from Damascus, Syria

Syria's Civil War Explained

Egypt s Sufi Al-Azmiyya: An Alternative to Salafism?

Exercise 2: Are the following statements true or false? 6) Persians are an ethnic group that live in Iran.

Syrian Civil War. Study Guide. Chair: Pietro Giacomin Co-Chair: Maria Fernanda Alvarez Co-Chair: Mariela Troyo

A Leading Political Figure Reports on Israel

The Modern Middle East Or As I like to call it

THE ARAB SPRING Day Symposium to mark the 1st Anniversary of the Tunisian Revolution

Large and Growing Numbers of Muslims Reject Terrorism, Bin Laden

The Arab World Upended: Revolution and Its Aftermath in Tunisia and Egypt

Rule of Military in Egypt

Issue Overview: Sunni-Shiite divide

Analysis on the Trends of the Middle East Turmoil

Southwest Asia (Middle East) History Vocabulary Part 1

Arabs and Jews, Palestinians and Israelis One Homeland, Two Peoples: A Brief History

Iran had limited natural resources Water was relatively scarce, and Iran s environment could only support a limited population Because of the heat,

Is Syria really so isolated?

Middle East : a hotbed of conflicts

Changing Borders. UN s 1947 Palestine Partition Plan After the 1949 War After the Six-Day War 1967

Abu Mayzar, Mohammed. Interviewed Translated by The Palestinian Revolution,

NATO DEFENSE COLLEGE FOUNDATION MAGHREB STRATEGIC TRENDS

A fragile alliance: how the crisis in Egypt caused a rift within the anti-syrian regime block

Iran Iraq War ( ) Causes & Consequences

AMERICAN JEWISH OPINION

Reforming the Muslim Brotherhood

Creating the Modern Middle East

Giving Peace a Chance in the Middle East

A Window into the Middle East: Interview with Haim Harari

Muhammad Sawalha, senior Hamas operative living in London, continues participating in Hamas-supported political activities.

Speech by Michel Touma, Lebanese journalist, at the symposium on Religion and Human Rights - Utah - October 2013.

Islam for Christians. John W. Herbst, PhD

Joint Presser with President Mahmoud Abbas. delivered 10 January 2008, Muqata, Ramallah

[For Israelis only] Q1 I: How confident are you that Israeli negotiators will get the best possible deal in the negotiations?

Overview 1. On June 29, 2014, ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-baghdadi declared the establishment of the

4/11/18. PSCI 2500 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Jim Butterfield Davis Arthur-Yeboah April 11, 2018

ISRAEL. The Historical Atlas. The Story of Israel From Ancient Times to the Modern Nation By Correspondents of The New York Times.

COUNTRY RANK North Korea Somalia

The American Public and the Arab Awakening. April 11, 2011

Event A: The Decline of the Ottoman Empire

President Trump s Speech Recognizing Jerusalem as the Capital of Israel (6 December 2017)

Issue Overview: Sunni-Shiite divide

WESTERN IMPERIALISM AND ISLAMIC FUNDAMENTALISM: what relation? Jamie Gough Department of Town and Regional Planning, Sheffield University

In such a suicide-averse culture as that of the Middle East, where traditionally suicide

Conference on Peaceful Coexistence, Dialogue and Combating Radicalization

A MILE WIDE AND AN INCH DEEP

In recent years, a public debate has been underway in the Western world, both in

Poll s املركز الفلسطيين للبحوث السياسية واملسحية. Palestinian Center for POLICY and SURVEY RESEARCH. Survey Research Unit.

Walkthrough: Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Art Exhibit

Carleton University Learning in Retirement Program (Oct-Dec 2017) Israel/Palestine: Will it ever end? Welcome. Peter Larson

The Terrorism Threat In 2012: Global Perspective Terrorism Risk And Insurance Markets In 2012 OECD Headquarters Paris, France 5 December 2012

28 th Arab Summit: Beyond the Veneer of Optimism INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES. Issue Brief. April 14, Arhama Siddiqa, Research Fellow, ISSI

Transcription:

Vol. 14, No. 45 January 5, 2015 Can Tunisia Navigate the Cross-Currents of the Muslim World? Amb. Freddy Eytan The Arab Spring erupted in Tunisia, the first Arab country to depose its radical Islamist government democratically and nonviolently. The results of Tunisia s recent presidential and parliamentary elections indicate that dark, extremist, political Islam clearly contravenes democratic and secular values. The victory of Abdel Fattah el-sisi in Egypt and the ouster of the Muslim Brotherhood regime enhanced the power of Tunisia s secular opposition and was clearly the main factor in the government s removal. Tunisia has long been considered a moderate Sunni country, enlightened and progressive, most of whose residents are literate and oppose violence. The father of the Tunisian nation, Habib Bourguiba, was the first Arab leader to recognize the state of Israel, which he did immediately after his country became independent in 1956. He was known for his sympathy toward the Jewish people. Until today, notwithstanding the revolution and the regime changes, the small Jewish community in Tunisia enjoys special treatment. After the First Lebanon War in 1982, Tunisia agreed to host the PLO s military headquarters and extended diplomatic immunity to Yasser Arafat and his followers. In 1985 the headquarters was bombed by the Israeli air force. Tunisia played an important role in the secret talks that led to the Oslo agreements and in 1996 Tunisia and Israel established diplomatic relations and interest offices. Those relations were severed with the outbreak of the Second Intifada in October 2000.

Beji Caid Essebsi, Tunisia s new President The Background of the Revolution In 1956, after 75 years of French colonial rule, Tunisia attained its independence. Bourguiba set up a one-party, autocratic regime and ran the country for 31 years. In 1987, Zine El Abidine Ben Ali took power in a coup, and he ruled with an iron fist until the beginning of 2011. During his reign Tunisia flourished economically and culturally, and relations with European countries, particularly Italy and France, grew stronger. However, governmental corruption increased and human rights were trampled. Since independence in 1956, the Tunisian people have known only two rulers, Bourguiba and Ben Ali. On December 17, 2010, the first tremor occurred. In the small peripheral town of Sidi Bouzid, far from Tunis the noisy capital, a young hawker named Muhammad Buazizi set himself on fire because the authorities had denied him permission to set up a vegetable and fruit stall in the local market. His death ignited a wave of riots and protests all over the country against the regime and the economic hardships. President Ben Ali ordered that the protests be harshly suppressed. In violent riots 670 people were killed, including about one hundred who were killed in escape attempts from prisons. On November 14, 2011, President Ben Ali fled the country with his family and associates, escorted by Libyan warplanes provided by Libya s Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. After French President Nicolas Sarkozy denied Ben Ali political asylum, he was smuggled into Saudi Arabia. In Tunisia he was tried in absentia by a military court and sentenced to 35 years in prison with a $65 million fine. 2

Results of the Domino Effect in the Arab Countries The fall of President Ben Ali and his humiliating flight to Riyadh was clearly a historic event that sent shock waves through the Arab world. Tunisia s Jasmine Revolution erupted in full force and spread to the other Arab countries, particularly Egypt, in what became known as the Arab Spring. It led in Egypt to the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak and the rise of the Muslim Brotherhood; in Libya, to Gaddafi s fall; and in Syria to the outbreak of the civil war and the empowerment of Islamist terrorist organizations that have wrought substantial changes throughout the Middle East. For the first time in Tunisia, Arab masses dared to go out into the streets and squares to demonstrate against tyranny and corruption. Calls for freedom and equality began to be heard that were unprecedented in an Arab country. In other Arab cities, too, people demonstrated for the first time over domestic problems and not on behalf of Palestine and against the Israeli occupation. Rallies and riots erupted against corrupt leaders who had benefited for years from the poverty and ignorance of the population and looted the treasury of the country, creating police states and intensifying the cult of personality. In the 1950s and 1960s, changes and Arab regimes were only achieved via coups by colonels and megalomaniacs. Today, revolutions are carried out in the light of day by the masses, the overwhelming majority of whom are unemployed youths adept at waging their struggle with cell phones, social networks, and websites. Facebook and satellite TV have become the new weapons of these youthful throngs who have rejected totalitarian regimes. The New Regime On October 23, 2011, general parliamentary elections were held in Tunisia; the Islamist party Ennahda Renaissance won a majority of seats. The secular parties intensely feared that Tunisia would become an Islamist country run according to sharia law, and again there were street demonstrations this time demanding a new constitution and new and fair elections that would reflect the real wishes of the people. After many struggles that lasted over two years, eventually a new constitution was ratified that combines Muslim religious values with universal and democratic ones. It should be noted that since the first Tunisian republic was established in 1956, women have been granted equality, and they continue to hold positions of power. In June 2012, 88-year-old Beji Caid Essebsi returned to the political arena. A familiar figure going back to the days of Bourguiba and Ben Ali, he has served as chairman of the parliament, foreign minister, and for a short time prime minister. He established a new, secular-leftist, anti-islamist party called Nida Tunis. 3

In January 2014, the serving Islamist prime minister, Rashid Gannouchi, decided of his own free will to resign, along with the members of his Ennahda Party. Early parliamentary and presidential elections were announced. On December 14 the secular Nida Tunis won a majority of the parliament, and the elderly Beji Caid Essebsi was elected Tunisia s new president. Will he succeed to unite the ranks and lead his country to stability and better days? Is a more democratic future in store for the country or a return to the old, corrupt practices of Ben Ali? At this point it is hard to say. Tunisia, the smallest of the Maghreb countries with a population of 11 million, mostly young and educated, has difficulty overcoming its economic and social problems. Tunisia does not have abundant natural resources, neither oil nor gas like most Arab countries, and it is not a military power. Its power is based on its strategic geographic location and its ability to compromise and prevent political frictions and conflicts with its neighbors. Tourism is an important sector, and unless large numbers of tourists start returning to Tunisia the economy will collapse and unemployment will grow. The new president will have to implement drastic measures involving most of all the rehabilitation of the economy, with full cooperation and European, especially French, investment. President Hollande, who made an official visit to Tunis, promised to respond to the requests as well as to increase cooperation in the fight against Islamist terror. The mounting unemployment has led many young Tunisians to emigrate to France; others have joined Islamist terrorist movements such as Islamic State. Moreover, Tunisia borders Libya where chaos now prevails. There too, radical groups are trying to undermine Tunisia s new secular government through terrorist attacks. Tunisian-Israeli Relations Already before independence in 1956, Bourguiba s emissaries enjoyed friendly relations with Israeli diplomats at the United Nations and in Paris, and in the following years they continued these relations in secrecy. In that period a productive Jewish community of 100,000 lived in Tunisia; it contributed greatly to the economy and to the cultural flowering. Earlier, for six months during the Nazi occupation of Tunisia during World War II, Jews had worn the yellow badge and were transported to labor camps, some even to extermination camps in Europe. Today, there are only about 2,000 Jews in Tunisia, most of them elderly, concentrated on the on the island of Djerba. On April 11, 2002, the local synagogue, considered one of the oldest in the world, was targeted by Al-Qaeda in an attack that killed 21 people, most of them tourists. With the attainment of independence from France, President Bourguiba adopted a moderate, courageous approach to resolving the conflict between Israel and the Arab states. 4

In numerous talks this author held with former Tunisian Prime Minister Muhammad Mazali, it emerged that the founder of the Tunisian republic had tried several times to mediate between Arab and Israeli leaders in seeking a solution to the conflict. This was also done with the help of former French Prime Minister Pierre Mendés France, who was a Jew and a fervent activist for peace with the Palestinians. It was Mendés France who granted independence to Tunisia, and as a token of respect Bourguiba awarded him a holiday residence in Carthage where each year he would spend his summer vacation. This author met often with Mendés France and he confirmed the contacts, which, unfortunately, did not bear fruit. On March 3, 1965, at the refugee camp in Jericho, during a visit to Jordan with King Hussein and two years before Israel occupied the territories, Bourguiba gave a historic speech that resonated worldwide. He was the first Arab leader to call for recognizing the state of Israel. This brave step isolated him in the Arab world, and Tunisia was expelled from the Arab League by Nasser. It was also Bourguiba who agreed to provide refuge to Yasser Arafat and his fighters when, after the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in June 1982, they were expelled from Beirut in late August and the beginning of September. The PLO opened offices in Tunis, which, as noted, were bombed by the Israeli air force in 1985. Tunisia played a key role in the secret talks that led to the signing of the Oslo agreements in September 1993. Upon the transfer of PLO headquarters to Ramallah on January 22, 1996, Israel and Tunisia established official diplomatic relations and interest offices, which operated as embassies in all regards. Tunisian emigrants were allowed to come back and visit their homeland. On September 22, 2000, with the outbreak of the Second Intifada, President Ben Ali announced that he was severing the ties, and to this day they have not been renewed. * * * Notes Mohamed Mazli, Un Premier ministre de Bourguiba témoigne, Picollec, 2004. Le Monde, Béji Caid Essebsi le revenant devenu Président, October 23, 2014. Le Monde, Rached Ghannouchi Ennahda a quitté le pouvoir, October 14, 2014. Michael Laskier, Middle East Review of International Affairs, Vol. 4, No. 2 (June 2000). Freddy Eytan, La France, Israël et les Arabes, Jean Picollec, Paris, 2005. Béchir Ben Yahmed, dans Jeune Afrique/l'intelligent, n 2048, du 11, au 17, April 2000. Discours de Jéricho, Les Temps modernes, 1967, n 253. 5

Ambassador Freddy Eytan, a former Foreign Ministry senior advisor who served in Israel s embassies in Paris and Brussels, was Israel s first Ambassador to the Islamic Republic of Mauritania. He was also the spokesman of the Israeli delegation in the peace process with the Palestinians. Since 2007, he heads the Israel-Europe Project at the Jerusalem Center, which focuses on presenting Israel s case in the countries of Europe and seeks to develop ties and avenues of bilateral cooperation. He is also the director of Le Cape, the Jerusalem Center website in French. Amb. Eytan has written 20 books about the Israeli-Arab conflict and the policy of France in the Middle East, including La Poudriere (The Powder Keg) and Le double jeu (the double game). He has also published biographies of Shimon Peres, Ariel Sharon, Benjamin Netanyahu, and a book about The 18 Who Built Israel. This Jerusalem Issues Brief is available online at: http://www.jcpa.org Dore Gold, Publisher; Alan Baker, ICA Director; Lenny Ben-David, Managing Editor. Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs (Registered Amuta), 13 Tel-Hai St., Jerusalem, Israel; Tel. 972-2-561-9281, Fax. 972-2-561-9112, Email: jcpa@netvision.net.il. In U.S.A.: Center for Jewish Community Studies, 7 Church Lane, Suite 9, Baltimore, MD 21208; Tel. 410-653-7779; Fax 410-653-8889. Website: www.jcpa.org. Copyright. The opinions expressed herein do not necessarily reflect those of the Board of Fellows of the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs. The Institute for Contemporary Affairs (ICA) is dedicated to providing a forum for Israeli policy discussion and debate. To subscribe to the Jerusalem Issue Brief list, please go to link: http://www.list-jcpa.org/brief-sub.html 6