Overview. Against the backdrop of the latest escalation between Iran and Israel and Israeli threats to

Similar documents
Overview. Diplomatic efforts concerning the settlements of the Syrian war continue: In early

Overview. The decision of United States (U.S.) President Donald Trump to withdraw American forces

Overview. Tehran continues to deny Israeli reports about Iranian involvement in the clashes last

Overview. The focal point of the week was the visit to Damascus of Iranian Minister of Defense,

Overview. Iranian officials continue to react to the alleged Israeli strike on the Syrian air force base T-

Overview. Iran is attempting to downplay the involvement of the Qods Force of the Iranian

Overview. Ahead of the summit between the American and Russian presidents in Helsinki, which

Overview. As tensions mount between Iran and the United States, the Commander of the Qods

Overview. While Iran continues to downplay its involvement in the ongoing campaign in eastern

Iranian Responses to Growing Tensions with Israel and an Initial Assessment of Their Implications from an Iranian Standpoint. Dr.

Overview. Iran is keeping a low profile with regards to the Northern Shield operation carried

Overview. The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, used his annual speech on the occasion of the

Overview. Iran, Russia and Turkey continue to negotiate regarding Idlib s fate. Iran publicly

Overview. Against the backdrop of European efforts to place limitations on Iran s ballistic missile

Overview. and representatives from about 100 countries, including the Deputy Secretary

Iranian Targets Hit in Syria by the IDF and Responses in Iranian Media

The Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) leadership recently visited Iran and Lebanon to meet with

Overview. Last week, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps

Main Points Spotlight on Iran is an Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center bulletin illuminating Iran's activities to

SIMULATION : The Middle East after the territorial elimination of the Islamic state in Iraq and Syria

Dr. Raz Zimmt. Executive Summary. On March 12, the conservative Iranian website Farda News published a full transcript of a

"Military action will bring great costs for the region," Rouhani said, and "it is necessary to apply all efforts to prevent it."

Motives for Israel s Intensified Military Strikes against Syria

Israeli air strikes against Syria biggest since 1982

Why The U.S. Must Stop Supporting Kurdish Forces In Syria BY POLITICAL INSIGHTSApril 3, 2018

November Guidelines for the demilitarization of Gaza and a long-term arrangement in the South. MK Omer Barlev

Iranian Participation in the Liberation of Fallujah

138 th IPU ASSEMBLY AND RELATED MEETINGS. Consideration of requests for the inclusion of an emergency item in the Assembly agenda E#IPU138

CUFI BRIEFING HISTORY - IDEOLOGY - TERROR

Overview 1. On June 29, 2014, ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-baghdadi declared the establishment of the

Overview. On December 11, 2018, the IDF exposed a third tunnel crossing the Israeli-Lebanese

OIC Jerusalem summit.. Indications of a Turkish-Saudi tension Dr. Said Elhaj

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center

Policy Brief. A Strategic Shift: Possible Outcomes of the US strike on the Assad regime. AlJazeera Centre for Studies. April 2017

U.S. Admits Airstrike in Syria, Meant to Hit ISIS, Killed Syrian Troops

II. From civil war to regional confrontation

Iranian Attitudes in Advance of the Parliamentary Elections. Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland (CISSM) & IranPoll.

Untangling the Overlapping Conflicts in the Syrian War

4/11/18. PSCI 2500 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Jim Butterfield Davis Arthur-Yeboah April 11, 2018

Assessing ISIS one Year Later

... Connecting the Dots...

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center at the Center for Special Studies (C.S.S)

Saudi-Iranian Confrontation in the Horn of Africa:

Syria: to end a never-ending war. Michel Duclos

Turkey Breaks With Iran and Russia

Syria's Civil War Explained

Syria's Civil War Explained

The impact of the withdrawal of the American troops from Syria on the campaign against ISIS (Initial Assessment) Overview

The United States proposed a UN General Assembly resolution condemning Hamas and other terrorist organizations in the Gaza Strip.

North Syria Overview 17 th May to 14 th June 2018

WORKING PAPER 19 JULY 2013

The U.S. Withdrawal and Limited Options

THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION. 5 on 45: On Trump s NATO stance. Friday, April 14, 2017

Open Hearing. U.S. House of Representatives. Subcommittee on the Middle East and South Asia. "Axis of Abuse: U.S. Human Rights Policy

War in Afghanistan War in Iraq Arab Spring War in Syria North Korea 1950-

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center at the Israel Intelligence Heritage & Commemoration Center (IICC)

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center

Comment - The Damascus December 2009 Bus Explosion December 7, 2009 Alessandro Bacci reports from Damascus, Syria

Regional Issues. Conflicts in the Middle East. Importance of Oil. Growth of Islamism. Oil as source of conflict in Middle East

Syria's Civil War Explained

Since the outbreak of protests against the Syrian regime in 2011, Iran has been a

Rafsanjani on Iran s Conduct of the War. June 21, 2008

LOL!!! Hezbollah Is The Party Of Satan Saudi Wahhabist Minister Says. Zionist Jerusalem Post Gleefully Reports! By The UglyTruth

THE WORLD S NINTH NUCLEAR POWER: IRAN S AMBITIONS IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND BEYOND

REPORT ON THE ZIMBABWE PARLIAMENTARY DELEGATION TO IRAN FOR THE HELD IN TEHERAN, IRAN FEBRUARY, 2017.

DIA Alumni Association. The Mess in the Middle East August 19, 2014 Presented by: John Moore

Perceiving the Shia Dimension of Terrorism. Hanin Ghaddar

HOME ABOUT SUBSCRIBE DONATE CONTACT/REQUEST A CLIP

The Iranian Modus Operandi

OPINION jordan palestine ksa uae iraq. rkey iran egypt lebanon jordan palstine

ا زاد افغانستان افغانستان ا زاد

Syria's Civil War Explained

Islam and Terrorism. Nov. 28, 2016 Clarity in defining the enemy is essential to waging war.

Weekly Conflict Summary

The Islamic State's Fallback

Syria Alert. Issue II, 24 October How can a war be prevented? The gates of hell are wide open and the fire is approaching. 1

Overview. The events of the Great Return March, which started on March 30, 2018, are expected to

Recently, the group released videos showing the killing of two American journalists in Syria.

Professor Shibley Telhami,, Principal Investigator

Speech by Michel Touma, Lebanese journalist, at the symposium on Religion and Human Rights - Utah - October 2013.

IRAN S SIGNALS, CALLS, AND MARCHES

Is Enforced Displacement the New Reality in Syria? Radwan Ziadeh

Asharq Al-Awsat Talks to Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari Friday 22 October 2010 By Sawsan Abu-Husain

CgNFIDEN'fIA!:r 4343 ADD ON 3 THE WH ITE HOUSE WASHI NGTON. Meeting with Prince Saud al-faisal Foreign Minister of Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia and Iran

IRAN is in Ezekiel 38, but why NOT their PROXIES?

region reawakened ancient rivalries with Sunni Arabs. Its missile and nuclear development programs alarmed Israel.

ASSESSMENT REPORT. The Shebaa Operation: A Restrained Response from Hezbollah

Stanley Foundation Analysis of PIPA Poll on Iraqi Attitudes

March 28, Installation of the camp close to Jabalia, Gaza. March 26, Media command installed prior to the march to host journalists.

Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center at the Center for Special Studies (C.S.S)

A traditional approach to IS based on maintaining a unified Iraq, while building up the Iraqi Government, the Kurdistan Regional Government

ISIS Represents Neither Sunnis nor Islam

Iranian Kurds: Between the Hammer and the Anvil

Turkey s Hard Choices in Syria and Iraq. Mustafa Gurbuz

Polls. Palestinian Center for POLICY and SURVEY. 9 December Survey Research Unit PRESS RELEASE. Palestinian Public Opinion Poll No (54)

replaced by another Crown Prince who is a more serious ally to Washington? To answer this question, there are 3 main scenarios:

Zechariah s Prophecy Comes to Life

A Leading Political Figure Reports on Israel

Prashant Mavani, is an expert in current affairs analysis and holds a MSc in Management from University of Surrey (U.K.).

Transcription:

Spotlight on Iran ` January 27, 2019 - February 10, 2019 Author: Dr. Raz Zimmt Overview Against the backdrop of the latest escalation between Iran and Israel and Israeli threats to continue acting against Iranian expansionism in Syria, Iran is issuing menacing statements at Israel. The deputy commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) warned that if Israel launched a war against Iran, it will lead to its annihilation. The secretary of the Supreme National Security Council stated in his meeting with the Syrian foreign minister, who visited Tehran, that if Israel persists with its activities in Syria, measures will be taken against it that will teach its leadership a lesson. Iran and Russia continue to hold discussions regarding the settlement of the war in Syria ahead of the summit of Iranian, Russian and Turkish leaders on the matter set to be held in Sochi, Russia, in mid-february. Senior Iranian officials emphasized once again the strategic cooperation between Tehran and Moscow. This followed criticism by the chairman of the Majlis National Security and Foreign Policy Committee over Russia s conduct during the Israeli strike carried out last month against Iranian targets in Syria. Meanwhile, Iran is continuing to strive to expand its economic influence in post-war Syria. Iranian deputy president visited Syria at the end of January and inked deals for cooperation in various spheres between the two countries, including an agreement for strategic long-term economic cooperation. Iraq continues to serve as an arena for contestation between Iran and the United States. The statement made by President Trump that the U.S. presence in Iraq will stay in place to closely monitor Iran was met with harsh criticism by senior Baghdad officials and commanders of pro-iranian Iraqi militias. Meanwhile, Iranian and Iraqi officials continue to exchange visits to Tehran and Baghdad. The adviser of the chairman of the Majlis on international affairs met with Iraq s leadership in Baghdad, while the Iraqi minister of science visited Tehran to sign an agreement concerning scientific and technological cooperation; the governor of the Iranian Central Bank paid a visit to Baghdad to discuss cooperation in the banking sector and repayment of Iraqi debt to Iran for electricity and gas usage.

2 Iranian Involvement in Syria Against the backdrop of the latest escalation between Israel and Iran in Syria, the Deputy Commander of the IRGC, Hossein Salami, issued a threat stating that if Israel launched a war against Iran, this will lead to its annihilation. At a conference in the city of Mashhad, Salami claimed that Israelis are trying to shift the strategic balance of power and compensate for their psychological fears through tactical operations and attacks on weapon depots in Syria. He added that Israel should not play with fire, as it will be eliminated even before the United States will be able to come to its rescue. Salami argued that conditions have been created for the eradication of Israel because large forces from all over the Muslim world are now present in Syria and every inch of Israel is now within firing range (IRNA, January 31). A few days earlier, Salami declared, in response to Israel s threats to continue striking Iranian targets in Syria, that Iran s strategy is erasing Israel from the political geography of the world and that Israel s evil deeds hasten its ends. He proclaimed that if Israel carries out action that will spark a new war, that conflict will end in Israel s annihilation (Tasnim, January 28). The Deputy Commander of the IRGC, Hossein Salami (Tasnim, January 28 2019). On January 28, Eshaq Jahangiri, the First Deputy of Iran s President, arrived for a visit in Syria at the helm of senior economic affairs officials. Upon arrival in Damascus, Jahangiri reported that Iran reached an important agreement for cooperation in the banking sector with Syria, and that Iran will establish several power stations in Syria, the first one in Lattakia. He asserted that Iran will stay by Syria s side during the reconstruction phase, just as it stood by Syria in its struggle against terrorism (Fars, January 28). During the visit and at the end of the meeting of the Joint Syrian-Iranian Supreme Committee, the two countries signed 11

3 agreements and memoranda of understanding concerning cooperation in the spheres of economy, sciences, infrastructure, culture, construction, energy and agriculture. Among other deals, the Iranian deputy president and the Syrian Prime Minister, Imad Khamis, signed an agreement for strategic and long-term economic cooperation. In addition, the two countries signed an agreement concerning cooperation in the banking sector, which provides for the establishment of a joint Iranian-Syrian bank, as well as agreements concerning the rehabilitation of the Tartous and Lattakia ports by Iranian companies (Mehr, January 29). The meeting between Iranian deputy president and Syrian prime minister (Mehr, January 29 2019). During his meeting with the Syrian President, Bashar al-assad, Jahangiri stated that the war in Syria was not a war against the government and people of Syria, but a war against the security of the region and the Resistance Axis, a war supported by the West, and particularly the United States, and some of the countries of the region (Mehr, January 29). The Spokesman of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Bahram Qasemi, stated that Iran and Russia have an important partnership and maintain close and mutual cooperation in the region, particularly in the struggle against terrorism in Syria. He emphasized that the two countries will continue their cooperation to realize their mutual special goals. He emphasized that the statement made by the Chairman of the Majlis National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, Heshmatollah Falahatpisheh, who had criticized Russia for not utilizing its missile defense systems during the Israeli strike against Iranian targets, does not represent the official position of Iran (Fars, January 28). In early February, Hossein Jaberi Ansari, the Adviser to the Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs, met with the Special Envoy of the Russian President for Syria, Alexander Lavrentiev,

4 and discussed developments in Syria (Mehr, February 3). The meeting was intended to lay the ground for a summit between the leader of Iran, Turkey and Russia set to be held in mid- February in Sochi, Russia. On February 5, the Syrian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Walid al-muallem, arrived for a visit in Tehran. He met the Iranian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mohammad Javad Zarif, the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, the Speaker of the Majlis, Ali Larijani, and the Adviser of Foreign Affairs to the Supreme Leader, Ali-Akbar Velayati. Al- Muallem discussed developments in Syria and in the region as well as bilateral relations with his counterparts. In his meeting with al-muallem, Shamkhani proclaimed that just as Iran stood by Syria s side in its struggle against terrorism, it will not spare any effort to assist it and advise it during its phase of economic reconstruction. He asserted that Israeli strikes in Syria must be deemed unacceptable and warned that if Israel continues its activities in Syria, measures will be taken against Israel. These pre-planned measures are intended to deter Israel and provide a response that would serve as a lesson for the Israeli criminals. The Syrian minister of foreign affairs stated in the meeting that the Iranian military advisers were invited to Syria to assist Syria s armed forces in their struggle against terrorism, adding that the Syrian government is committed to maintaining the safety of Iranian forces on Syrian soil (Fars, February 5). The meeting between the Syrian and Iranian foreign ministers in Tehran (Tasnim, February 5 2019). The Speaker of the Majlis, Ali Larijani, stated in an interview to the Lebanese (pro- Hezbollah) TV Channel al-mayadin (February 1), marking the 40 th anniversary of the Islamic Revolution, that Iran does not have military bases in Syria and does not need to maintain

5 permanent military presence in countries of the region. Iran assists these countries, when they ask it to do so, and local forces, including Hezbollah, Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Larijani commented that Iran s continued presence in Syria depends on developments on the ground and the activities of terrorists in parts of the county, such as Idlib. He emphasized that Iran will continue to help Syria as long as the government in Damascus needs this assistance. Referring to U.S. activities in the region, the speaker of the Majlis asserted that the enemies of the Islamic Revolution aimed to establish a new Middle East, but failed to achieve this goal. This failure manifests in the fact that when the U.S. president wants to travel to Iraq, he must do so in the middle of the night, due to the great hatred toward the United States in the region. The Americans maintain bases in Iraq, but they do not have the courage to exit them, he argued. By comparison, Iranian enjoy popular support among the region s inhabitants, due to the assistance they offered to Syria and Iraq in the campaign against ISIS, and Iranian forces and officials can walk around freely among civilians, Larijani opined. In early February, an Iranian parliamentary delegation headed by Ahmad Mazani, the Chairman of the Culture and Guidance Committee of the Majlis, visited Syria to discuss expanding cultural and scientific cooperation between the two countries. In a meeting with the Chairman of the Syrian Parliament s Cultural, Education, High Education and Scientific Research Committee, Abdul-salam Mohammad Rashed al-dahmoush, Mazani emphasized the need to expand cultural cooperation between the two countries (IRNA, February 4). Iranian Involvement in Iraq At the end of January, Iranian Ambassador to Iraq, Iraj Masjedi, met with a group of Iraqi academics, journalists and tribal leaders. During the meeting, Masjedi proclaimed that the efforts to cause disagreements and hostility between the Iranian and Iraqi people will fail, since the relationship between the two countries is historic and deep. Masjedi commented that Iran is proud of the assistance it provided to Iraq in its campaign against ISIS, and saw this assistance as a duty. He addressed the cooperation between the two countries in the energy sector stating that Iran exports electricity and gas to Iraq and assists it in establishing a power station, which once completed, will solve the electricity shortage in southern Iraq. He emphasized that Iran is standing by Iraq s side not only during war, but also during its reconstruction (IRNA, January 28).

6 Iranian ambassador meets a delegation of Iraqi public figures (IRNA, January 28 2019). In early February, Hossein Amir Abdollahian, the Adviser on Foreign Affairs to the Speaker of the Majlis, visited Baghdad and met with senior Iraqi officials, including the Speaker of the Iraqi Parliament, Muhammad al-halbusi. Abdollahian invited al-halbusi for an official visit in Tehran. In addition, Abdollahian met with Sayyed Ammar al-hakim, the leader of the Shi ite Party, the National Wisdom Movement, and discussed developments in Iraq and the region, as well as bilateral relations (Mehr, February 5). Last week, al-hakim harshly condemned to the statement of U.S. President Donald Trump in an interview to the CBS network, according to which he wants to maintain U.S. presence in Iraq after the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria, to closely monitor Iran. In response to this statement, al-hakim posted on his Twitter account (February 4) that Iraq will not allow itself to become an arena for settling regional and international scores, or as a basis for spying on its neighbors or a launching pad for aggressive action against them. A meeting between Abdollahian and the speaker of the Iraqi Parliament (Mehr, February 5 2019).

7 Iran and Iraq signed an agreement concerning scientific and technological cooperation. In a meeting between the Iranian Minister of Science, Mansour Qolami and the Iraqi Minister of Science and High Education, Qusai Abdul Wahab al-suhail, held in Tehran on February 2, the two sides agreed to increase academic and scientific cooperation between the two countries. The Iranian Minister of Science stated in the meeting that over 3,300 Iraqi students are currently enrolled in Iranian universities, about 700 of them PhD students. He stated that Iran is willing to admit more Iraqi students and expand the exchanges of students and faculty between the two countries (Mehr, February 2). The meeting of the Iraqi and Iranian ministers of science (Mehr, February 2 2019). On February 5, the Governor of the Iranian Central Bank, Abdolnasser Hemmati, arrived for a visit in Baghdad to discuss with Iraqi officials the banking ties between the two countries and to sign an agreement concerning the repayment of Iraq s debt to Iran for electricity and gas purchased from Iran (Tasnim, February 5). Iranian Involvement in the Palestinian Arena In a media interview, the Secretary General of Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Ziad al-nakhla, proclaimed that Iran is the only country that supports the resistance in Palestine. He insisted that Arab countries do not support the Palestinian people and that the Islamic Republic in Iran is the only one that supported the Palestinians since the victory of the Islamic Revolution (1979). He added that Iran does not try to convert Palestinian to Shi ite Islam and Iran s support for the Islamic Jihad and other Palestinian factions was never predicated on religious criteria (meaning, the division between Shi ites and Sunnis). According to al-nakhla,

8 all the capabilities of the Resistance to date have been achieved thanks to the support of the Islamic Republic (Fars, January 30).