National Election Study-Mid-poll 1996-Findings

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Q1: During this election campaign, have you attended any election meeting organised by any party candidate? 1: No 8279 89.3 2: Yes 987 10.7 Q2: Has any candidate, party worker or canvasser come to your house during the campaign to ask for your vote? 1: No 7241 78.1 2: Yes 2025 21.9 Q3: Are you going to vote this time? 1: No 184 2.0 2: Yes 9082 98.0 Q4: Have you made up your mind about who to vote for in the coming election? 1: No 2570 27.7 2: Yes 6696 72.3 Q5: If Lok Sabha elections were to take place tomorrow, who would you vote for? 00: No party 37.4 01: Congress 3344 36.1 02: BJP 1760 19.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 1

03: JD 691 7.5 04: CPI 124 1.3 05: CPM 494 5.3 06: BSP 324 3.5 08: Independents 199 2.1 09: Others 98 1.1 12: INC(S) 2.0 13: INC(Tiwari) 81.9 18: TMC 184 2.0 21: Shiv Sena 205 2.2 27: IUML 49.5 28: PDP (Madani) 7.1 29: In League 2.0 32: SJP 1.0 33: SP (Mulayam) 309 3.3 34: Samata 144 1.6 41: RSP 76.8 42: IPF/CPML 45.5 44: Forward Bloc 11.1 50: RPI 22.2 62: SAD 45.5 64: SAD(B) 18.2 65: JMM 45.5 66: HVP 40.4 70: PWP 23.2 71: MGP 1.0 72: UGDP 5.1 79: MDMK 11.1 80: AIADMK 61.7 81: DMK 231 2.5 82: TDP(NTR) 61.7 85: TDP(Naidu) 162 1.7 86: PMK 38.4 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 2

87: KCP 5.1 90: AGP 69.7 97: TUJS 1.0 98: Don't know 11.1 99: Refusal 230 2.5 Q6: And what about state elections - who would you vote for in the assembly elections? 00: No party 4.0 01: Congress 603 6.5 02: BJP 74.8 03: JD 17.2 04: CPI 35.4 05: CPM 382 4.1 06: BSP 11.1 08: Independents 24.3 09: Others 29.3 12: INC(S) 16.2 13: INC(Tiwari) 15.2 18: TMC 83.9 27: IUML 36.4 28: PDP (Madani) 6.1 29: In League 2.0 34: Samata 23.2 40: LF/LDF 29.3 41: RSP 72.8 44: Forward Bloc 27.3 66: HVP 74.8 79: MDMK 25.3 80: AIADMK 134 1.4 81: DMK 352 3.8 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 3

84: KC(J) 26.3 86: PMK 32.3 90: AGP 91 1.0 99: Refusal/N.A. 7044 76.0 Q7: Which party would you like to form the government in Delhi after this election? 00: No party 121 1.3 01: Congress 3348 36.1 02: BJP 1706 18.4 03: JD 476 5.1 04: CPI 31.3 05: CPM 268 2.9 06: BSP 230 2.5 08: Independents 12.1 09: Others 48.5 10: UDF in Kerala 5.1 13: INC(Tiwari) 39.4 18: TMC 77.8 20: BJP-Shiv Sena 27.3 21: Shiv Sena 64.7 27: IUML 12.1 28: PDP (Madani) 3.0 30: National Front 42.5 32: SJP 6.1 33: SP (Mulayam) 200 2.2 34: Samata 35.4 40: LF/LDF 50.5 41: RSP 1.0 42: IPF/CPML 21.2 44: Forward Bloc 2.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 4

47: CMP 1.0 49: NF-LF 133 1.4 50: RPI 2.0 59: Mixed Coalition 57.6 62: SAD 9.1 64: SAD(B) 1.0 65: JMM 23.2 66: HVP 11.1 70: PWP 5.1 80: AIADMK 9.1 81: DMK 63.7 82: TDP(NTR) 6.1 85: TDP(Naidu) 22.2 86: PMK 4.0 90: AGP 6.1 98: Don't know 2052 22.1 99: Refusal 38.4 Q8: And, who would you like to be the next prime minister? 01: P.V. Narasimha Rao 2192 23.7 02: L.K, Advani 287 3.1 03: Atal Behari Vajpayee 1145 12.4 04: V.P. Singh 262 2.8 05: Chandra Sekhar 58.6 06: Kanshi Ram 173 1.9 07: Jyoti Basu 182 2.0 08: Laloo Prasad Yadav 195 2.1 09: Mulayam Singh Yadav 212 2.3 10: Arjun Singh 35.4 11: Sharad Pawar 69.7 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 5

12: Rajesh Pilot 15.2 13: Others 624 6.7 98: Don't know/can't say 3817 41.2 Q9: Here in this Lok Sabha Constituency which parties do you think would really be in the main contest this time? a: 1st party 00: No party 39.4 01: Congress 2978 32.1 02: BJP 1407 15.2 03: JD 647 7.0 04: CPI 63.7 05: CPM 463 5.0 06: BSP 164 1.8 08: Independents 27.3 09: Others 40.4 10: UDF in Kerala 45.5 13: INC(Tiwari) 36.4 18: TMC 166 1.8 20: BJP-Shiv Sena 29.3 21: Shiv Sena 162 1.7 27: IUML 15.2 32: SJP 1.0 33: SP (Mulayam) 190 2.1 34: Samata 77.8 40: LF/LDF 44.5 41: RSP 60.6 42: IPF/CPML 19.2 44: Forward Bloc 1.0 49: NF-LF 3.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 6

50: RPI 6.1 59: Mixed Coalition 11.1 62: SAD 28.3 65: JMM 23.2 66: HVP 30.3 70: PWP 27.3 72: UGDP 4.0 79: MDMK 5.1 80: AIADMK 93 1.0 81: DMK 342 3.7 82: TDP(NTR) 39.4 85: TDP(Naidu) 130 1.4 86: PMK 29.3 87: KCP 2.0 89: HPU 1.0 90: AGP 49.5 98: Don't know 1747 18.9 99: Refusal 24.3 b: 2nd party 00: No party 80.9 01: Congress 2660 28.7 02: BJP 1676 18.1 03: JD 419 4.5 04: CPI 103 1.1 05: CPM 415 4.5 06: BSP 224 2.4 08: Independents 69.7 09: Others 63.7 10: UDF in Kerala 31.3 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 7

13: INC(Tiwari) 31.3 18: TMC 48.5 20: BJP-Shiv Sena 20.2 21: Shiv Sena 157 1.7 27: IUML 4.0 32: SJP 5.1 33: SP (Mulayam) 188 2.0 34: Samata 70.8 40: LF/LDF 68.7 41: RSP 22.2 42: IPF/CPML 4.0 44: Forward Bloc 2.0 48: JSS 1.0 49: NF-LF 3.0 50: RPI 49.5 51: RPK 1.0 59: Mixed Coalition 22.2 62: SAD 65.7 64: SAD(B) 43.5 65: JMM 34.4 66: HVP 18.2 70: PWP 18.2 71: MGP 2.0 72: UGDP 8.1 79: MDMK 18.2 80: AIADMK 309 3.3 81: DMK 102 1.1 82: TDP(NTR) 66.7 85: TDP(Naidu) 179 1.9 86: PMK 5.1 89: HPU 1.0 90: AGP 26.3 97: TUJS 2.0 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 8

98: Don't know 1488 16.1 99: Refusal 447 4.8 Q10: Talking about the election will be held shortly, what do you think was the main issue around which the election will fight this time? 0: No issue 356 3.8 1: Good governance 1453 15.7 2: Price rise 1699 18.3 3: Corruption 1380 14.9 4: Nationalism 151 1.6 5: Social justice 349 3.8 6: Local issue 1093 11.8 7: Others 322 3.5 8: Don't know 2463 26.6 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 9

Z1: What is your age? National Election Study-Mid-poll 1996-Findings BACKGROUND INFORMATION 1: Up to 25 years 2216 23.9 2: 26 to 35 years 2493 26.9 3: 36 to 45 years 1732 18.7 4: 46 to 55 years 1145 12.4 5: 56 years and above 1680 18.1 Z2: Gender 1: Male 4747 51.2 2: Female 4519 48.8 Z3: What is your highest level of education? 1: Non-literate 3917 42.3 2: Middle pass 2676 28.9 3: Intermediate 1817 19.6 4: Graduate and above 514 5.5 9: N.A. 342 3.7 Z4: What is/has been your main occupation? 01: Executives, Managers, Professionals and officials 83.9 02: Professionals and officers (Class II) 194 2.1 03: White-Collar 234 2.5 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 10

04: Class IV employees in Govt./non-Govt. sector 141 1.5 11: Skilled workers 132 1.4 12: Craftsmen and Artisans (Group I) 215 2.3 13: Semi-skilled workers 249 2.7 14: Craftsmen and Artisans (Group II) 106 1.1 15: Unskilled workers 752 8.1 16: Domestic servants/maid servants 28.3 21: Petty business 283 3.1 22: Small scale business 208 2.2 23: Large scale business 39.4 31: Farmers with 5 or more acres of land 670 7.2 32: Farmers with 1-4.99 acres of land 694 7.5 33: Farmers with less than 1 acre of land 144 1.6 34: Share-cropper 37.4 35: Agricultural labourers with some land of their own 344 3.7 36: Landless agricultural labour 633 6.8 41: Poultry and Dairy farming 19.2 42: Fishermen 29.3 43: Shepherd, Cattle Grazers, Toddy tapers 25.3 50: Unemployed/non worker 287 3.1 51: Student 303 3.3 52: Housewife 2875 31.0 80: Other occupations 148 1.6 99: Not specified 394 4.3 a: (If housewife, student or unemployed) What is/has been occupation of main earner? 01: Executives, Managers, Professionals and officials 82.9 02: Professionals and officers (Class II) 151 1.6 03: White-Collar 221 2.4 04: Class IV employees in Govt./non-Govt. sector 120 1.3 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 11

11: Skilled workers 122 1.3 12: Craftsmen and Artisans (Group I) 138 1.5 13: Semi-skilled workers 185 2.0 14: Craftsmen and Artisans (Group II) 61.7 15: Unskilled workers 397 4.3 16: Domestic servants/maid servants 6.1 21: Petty business 181 2.0 22: Small scale business 155 1.7 23: Large scale business 36.4 31: Farmers with 5 or more acres of land 470 5.1 32: Farmers with 1-4.99 acres of land 522 5.6 33: Farmers with less than 1 acre of land 114 1.2 34: Share-cropper 27.3 35: Agricultural labourers with some land of their own 139 1.5 36: Landless agricultural labour 316 3.4 37: Tea/Coffee/Rubber plantation workers 1.0 41: Poultry and Dairy farming 12.1 42: Fishermen 12.1 43: Shepherd, Cattle Grazers, Toddy tapers 14.2 44: Hunters 1.0 50: Unemployed/non worker 26.3 51: Student 3.0 52: Housewife 33.4 80: Other occupations 95 1.0 99: Not specified 5626 60.7 Z6a: What is your Caste Group? Valid (%) Valid 1: Scheduled Caste 1605 17.3 18.0 2: Scheduled Tribe 747 8.1 8.4 3: Other Backward Caste 3613 39.0 40.5 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 12

Valid (%) 4: Others 2961 32.0 33.2 Total 8926 96.3 100.0 Missing 9: N.A. 340 3.7 Z7: What is your religion? 1: Hindu 7411 80.0 2: Muslim 960 10.4 3: Christian 334 3.6 4: Sikh 119 1.3 8: Others 442 4.8 Z8: Locality 1: Rural 7440 80.3 2: Urban 1826 19.7 Z9: Have you got voter s photo identity card? 1: No card, not photographed 1763 19.0 2: Photographed but card not issued 3063 33.1 3: Card issued but defective 303 3.3 4: Card issued and in order 3552 38.3 5: Others 37.4 9: N.A. 548 5.9 Lokniti-Centre for the Study of Developing Societies, CSDS Page 13