1 P R E S S R E L E A S E FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: November 5, 2018 Contact: Steve Mitchell 248-891-2414 Whitmer by 14% over Schuette Stabenow by 7% over James Whitmer 54% - Schuette 40% & Stabenow 53% - James 46% EAST LANSING, Mich. Former state Sen. Gretchen Whitmer (54%) leads Michigan Attorney General Bill Schuette (40%) by fourteen percent (40%) in the race for governor while U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow (53%) leads African-American businessman John James (46%) by seven percent according to a statewide poll conducted by Mitchell Research Communications of likely voters in tomorrow s election. In the governor race 1% is voting for another party while 1% are undecided. In the Senate race, only 1% is undecided. The IVR (automated) survey of N=701 Likely Voters was conducted Sunday November 4, 2018. It has a Margin of Error of + or 3.7% at the 95% level of confidence. All calls were made to landlines. John James is surging as the election approaches tomorrow. All Republicans lost steam as a result of the pipe bomber and the shooting in Pittsburgh. Although they are getting momentum back, it seems out of reach for Bill Schuette and a difficult road for James, despite his surging poll numbers. In the year of the women, both Gretchen Whitmer and Debbie Stabenow are very strong with women voters. Whitmer leads by 28% with females and trails by 5% with men. Stabenow leads by 23% with females and trails by 12% with men, Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Research & Communications said. Whitmer and Stabenow are poised to win on Tuesday, Mitchell concluded. [The poll was conducted by Mitchell Research and Communications of East Lansing, MI and was not commissioned or paid for by any candidate. SteveMitchell40@gmail.com; SteveMitchell40@Twitter Crosstabs Follow Below: 1
2 Age 18-29 124 45 75 4 0 100.0% 36.3% 60.5% 3.2% 0.0% 17.7% 15.5% 19.7% 50.0% 0.0% 30-44 136 56 69 0 11 100.0% 41.2% 50.7% 0.0% 8.1% 19.4% 19.3% 18.1% 0.0% 50.0% 45-64 300 131 156 4 9 100.0% 43.7% 52.0% 1.3% 3.0% 42.8% 45.2% 40.9% 50.0% 40.9% 65+ 141 58 81 0 2 100.0% 41.1% 57.4% 0.0% 1.4% 20.1% 20.0% 21.3% 0.0% 9.1% Gender Male 326 166 151 5 4 100.0% 50.9% 46.3% 1.5% 1.2% 46.5% 57.2% 39.6% 62.5% 18.2% Female 375 124 230 3 18 100.0% 33.1% 61.3% 0.8% 4.8% 53.5% 42.8% 60.4% 37.5% 81.8% 2
3 Party Affiliation Democrat 298 12 277 1 8 100.0% 4.0% 93.0% 0.3% 2.7% 42.5% 4.1% 72.7% 12.5% 36.4% Republican 254 226 23 2 3 100.0% 89.0% 9.1% 0.8% 1.2% 36.2% 77.9% 6.0% 25.0% 13.6% Party 13 6 3 4 0 100.0% 46.2% 23.1% 30.8% 0.0% 1.9% 2.1% 0.8% 50.0% 0.0% Independent 135 46 77 1 11 100.0% 34.1% 57.0% 0.7% 8.1% 19.3% 15.9% 20.2% 12.5% 50.0% Not Sure 1 0 1 0 0 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% Race White/Caucasian 575 267 285 2 21 100.0% 46.4% 49.6% 0.3% 3.7% 82.0% 92.1% 74.8% 25.0% 95.5% African-American 90 9 76 4 1 100.0% 10.0% 84.4% 4.4% 1.1% 12.8% 3.1% 19.9% 50.0% 4.5% Other 36 14 20 2 0 100.0% 38.9% 55.6% 5.6% 0.0% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 25.0% 0.0% 3
4 Area The City of Detroit 25 4 21 0 0 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 1.4% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% Wayne County Outside 75 37 36 2 0 Detroit 100.0% 49.3% 48.0% 2.7% 0.0% 10.7% 12.8% 9.4% 25.0% 0.0% Oakland County 83 42 35 0 6 100.0% 50.6% 42.2% 0.0% 7.2% 11.8% 14.5% 9.2% 0.0% 27.3% Macomb County 68 26 39 0 3 100.0% 38.2% 57.4% 0.0% 4.4% 9.7% 9.0% 10.2% 0.0% 13.6% Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, 94 37 56 0 1 Midland, Thumb 100.0% 39.4% 59.6% 0.0% 1.1% 13.4% 12.8% 14.7% 0.0% 4.5% Monroe, Washtenaw, and 109 35 71 1 2 Mid-Michigan 100.0% 32.1% 65.1% 0.9% 1.8% 15.5% 12.1% 18.6% 12.5% 9.1% West Michigan 144 52 83 1 8 100.0% 36.1% 57.6% 0.7% 5.6% 20.5% 17.9% 21.8% 12.5% 36.4% Northern Michigan/the U.P. 103 57 40 4 2 100.0% 55.3% 38.8% 3.9% 1.9% 14.7% 19.7% 10.5% 50.0% 9.1% 4
5 Trump Approval Approve 342 278 52 6 6 100.0% 81.3% 15.2% 1.8% 1.8% 48.8% 95.9% 13.6% 75.0% 27.3% Disapprove 340 8 315 2 15 100.0% 2.4% 92.6% 0.6% 4.4% 48.5% 2.8% 82.7% 25.0% 68.2% 19 4 14 0 1 100.0% 21.1% 73.7% 0.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.4% 3.7% 0.0% 4.5% General Election 2016 Clinton 322 19 295 2 6 100.0% 5.9% 91.6% 0.6% 1.9% 45.9% 6.6% 77.4% 25.0% 27.3% Johnson 21 2 14 1 4 100.0% 9.5% 66.7% 4.8% 19.0% 3.0% 0.7% 3.7% 12.5% 18.2% Stein 45 11 24 4 6 100.0% 24.4% 53.3% 8.9% 13.3% 6.4% 3.8% 6.3% 50.0% 27.3% Trump 279 246 27 1 5 100.0% 88.2% 9.7% 0.4% 1.8% 39.8% 84.8% 7.1% 12.5% 22.7% Did Not Vote 22 8 14 0 0 100.0% 36.4% 63.6% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% Senate Crosstabs Below 5
6 Age 18-29 122 65 57 0 0 100.0% 53.3% 46.7% 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 20.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% 30-44 137 56 73 0 8 100.0% 40.9% 53.3% 0.0% 5.8% 19.2% 17.3% 19.4% 0.0% 80.0% 45-64 304 138 163 1 2 100.0% 45.4% 53.6% 0.3% 0.7% 42.7% 42.6% 43.2% 100.0% 20.0% 65+ 149 65 84 0 0 100.0% 43.6% 56.4% 0.0% 0.0% 20.9% 20.1% 22.3% 0.0% 0.0% Gender Male 314 176 138 0 0 100.0% 56.1% 43.9% 0.0% 0.0% 44.1% 54.3% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0% Female 398 148 239 1 10 100.0% 37.2% 60.1% 0.3% 2.5% 55.9% 45.7% 63.4% 100.0% 100.0% 6
7 Party Affiliation Democrat 310 27 283 0 0 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 0.0% 0.0% 43.5% 8.3% 75.1% 0.0% 0.0% Republican 253 237 14 1 1 100.0% 93.7% 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 35.5% 73.1% 3.7% 100.0% 10.0% Party 11 8 3 0 0 100.0% 72.7% 27.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% Independent 137 52 76 0 9 100.0% 38.0% 55.5% 0.0% 6.6% 19.2% 16.0% 20.2% 0.0% 90.0% Not Sure 1 0 1 0 0 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 7
8 Race White/Caucasian 580 290 280 0 10 100.0% 50.0% 48.3% 0.0% 1.7% 81.5% 89.5% 74.3% 0.0% 100.0% African-American 97 16 81 0 0 100.0% 16.5% 83.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 4.9% 21.5% 0.0% 0.0% Other 35 18 16 1 0 100.0% 51.4% 45.7% 2.9% 0.0% 4.9% 5.6% 4.2% 100.0% 0.0% Trump Approval Approve 345 298 42 0 5 100.0% 86.4% 12.2% 0.0% 1.4% 48.5% 92.0% 11.1% 0.0% 50.0% Disapprove 344 23 315 1 5 100.0% 6.7% 91.6% 0.3% 1.5% 48.3% 7.1% 83.6% 100.0% 50.0% 23 3 20 0 0 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 8
9 Area The City of Detroit 26 3 23 0 0 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 0.9% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% Wayne County Outside 78 34 43 1 0 Detroit 100.0% 43.6% 55.1% 1.3% 0.0% 11.0% 10.5% 11.4% 100.0% 0.0% Oakland County 89 51 38 0 0 100.0% 57.3% 42.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 15.7% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% Macomb County 77 29 44 0 4 100.0% 37.7% 57.1% 0.0% 5.2% 10.8% 9.0% 11.7% 0.0% 40.0% Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, 91 37 53 0 1 Midland, Thumb 100.0% 40.7% 58.2% 0.0% 1.1% 12.8% 11.4% 14.1% 0.0% 10.0% Monroe, Washtenaw, and 114 58 56 0 0 Mid-Michigan 100.0% 50.9% 49.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0% 17.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0% West Michigan 136 59 73 0 4 100.0% 43.4% 53.7% 0.0% 2.9% 19.1% 18.2% 19.4% 0.0% 40.0% Northern Michigan/the U.P. 101 53 47 0 1 100.0% 52.5% 46.5% 0.0% 1.0% 14.2% 16.4% 12.5% 0.0% 10.0% 9
10 General Election 2016 Clinton 334 31 301 1 1 100.0% 9.3% 90.1% 0.3% 0.3% 46.9% 9.6% 79.8% 100.0% 10.0% Johnson 21 1 16 0 4 100.0% 4.8% 76.2% 0.0% 19.0% 2.9% 0.3% 4.2% 0.0% 40.0% Stein 44 24 20 0 0 100.0% 54.5% 45.5% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 7.4% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% Trump 283 257 21 0 5 100.0% 90.8% 7.4% 0.0% 1.8% 39.7% 79.3% 5.6% 0.0% 50.0% Did Not Vote 17 7 10 0 0 100.0% 41.2% 58.8% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% Not Sure 13 4 9 0 0 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 10