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1 1 P R E S S R E L E A S E FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: November 5, 2018 Contact: Steve Mitchell Whitmer by 14% over Schuette Stabenow by 7% over James Whitmer 54% - Schuette 40% & Stabenow 53% - James 46% EAST LANSING, Mich. Former state Sen. Gretchen Whitmer (54%) leads Michigan Attorney General Bill Schuette (40%) by fourteen percent (40%) in the race for governor while U.S. Sen. Debbie Stabenow (53%) leads African-American businessman John James (46%) by seven percent according to a statewide poll conducted by Mitchell Research Communications of likely voters in tomorrow s election. In the governor race 1% is voting for another party while 1% are undecided. In the Senate race, only 1% is undecided. The IVR (automated) survey of N=701 Likely Voters was conducted Sunday November 4, It has a Margin of Error of + or 3.7% at the 95% level of confidence. All calls were made to landlines. John James is surging as the election approaches tomorrow. All Republicans lost steam as a result of the pipe bomber and the shooting in Pittsburgh. Although they are getting momentum back, it seems out of reach for Bill Schuette and a difficult road for James, despite his surging poll numbers. In the year of the women, both Gretchen Whitmer and Debbie Stabenow are very strong with women voters. Whitmer leads by 28% with females and trails by 5% with men. Stabenow leads by 23% with females and trails by 12% with men, Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Research & Communications said. Whitmer and Stabenow are poised to win on Tuesday, Mitchell concluded. [The poll was conducted by Mitchell Research and Communications of East Lansing, MI and was not commissioned or paid for by any candidate. SteveMitchell40@gmail.com; SteveMitchell40@Twitter Crosstabs Follow Below: 1
2 2 Age % 36.3% 60.5% 3.2% 0.0% 17.7% 15.5% 19.7% 50.0% 0.0% % 41.2% 50.7% 0.0% 8.1% 19.4% 19.3% 18.1% 0.0% 50.0% % 43.7% 52.0% 1.3% 3.0% 42.8% 45.2% 40.9% 50.0% 40.9% % 41.1% 57.4% 0.0% 1.4% 20.1% 20.0% 21.3% 0.0% 9.1% Gender Male % 50.9% 46.3% 1.5% 1.2% 46.5% 57.2% 39.6% 62.5% 18.2% Female % 33.1% 61.3% 0.8% 4.8% 53.5% 42.8% 60.4% 37.5% 81.8% 2
3 3 Party Affiliation Democrat % 4.0% 93.0% 0.3% 2.7% 42.5% 4.1% 72.7% 12.5% 36.4% Republican % 89.0% 9.1% 0.8% 1.2% 36.2% 77.9% 6.0% 25.0% 13.6% Party % 46.2% 23.1% 30.8% 0.0% 1.9% 2.1% 0.8% 50.0% 0.0% Independent % 34.1% 57.0% 0.7% 8.1% 19.3% 15.9% 20.2% 12.5% 50.0% Not Sure % 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% Race White/Caucasian % 46.4% 49.6% 0.3% 3.7% 82.0% 92.1% 74.8% 25.0% 95.5% African-American % 10.0% 84.4% 4.4% 1.1% 12.8% 3.1% 19.9% 50.0% 4.5% Other % 38.9% 55.6% 5.6% 0.0% 5.1% 4.8% 5.2% 25.0% 0.0% 3
4 4 Area The City of Detroit % 16.0% 84.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% 1.4% 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% Wayne County Outside Detroit 100.0% 49.3% 48.0% 2.7% 0.0% 10.7% 12.8% 9.4% 25.0% 0.0% Oakland County % 50.6% 42.2% 0.0% 7.2% 11.8% 14.5% 9.2% 0.0% 27.3% Macomb County % 38.2% 57.4% 0.0% 4.4% 9.7% 9.0% 10.2% 0.0% 13.6% Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, Midland, Thumb 100.0% 39.4% 59.6% 0.0% 1.1% 13.4% 12.8% 14.7% 0.0% 4.5% Monroe, Washtenaw, and Mid-Michigan 100.0% 32.1% 65.1% 0.9% 1.8% 15.5% 12.1% 18.6% 12.5% 9.1% West Michigan % 36.1% 57.6% 0.7% 5.6% 20.5% 17.9% 21.8% 12.5% 36.4% Northern Michigan/the U.P % 55.3% 38.8% 3.9% 1.9% 14.7% 19.7% 10.5% 50.0% 9.1% 4
5 5 Trump Approval Approve % 81.3% 15.2% 1.8% 1.8% 48.8% 95.9% 13.6% 75.0% 27.3% Disapprove % 2.4% 92.6% 0.6% 4.4% 48.5% 2.8% 82.7% 25.0% 68.2% % 21.1% 73.7% 0.0% 5.3% 2.7% 1.4% 3.7% 0.0% 4.5% General Election 2016 Clinton % 5.9% 91.6% 0.6% 1.9% 45.9% 6.6% 77.4% 25.0% 27.3% Johnson % 9.5% 66.7% 4.8% 19.0% 3.0% 0.7% 3.7% 12.5% 18.2% Stein % 24.4% 53.3% 8.9% 13.3% 6.4% 3.8% 6.3% 50.0% 27.3% Trump % 88.2% 9.7% 0.4% 1.8% 39.8% 84.8% 7.1% 12.5% 22.7% Did Not Vote % 36.4% 63.6% 0.0% 0.0% 3.1% 2.8% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% Senate Crosstabs Below 5
6 6 Age % 53.3% 46.7% 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% 20.1% 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% % 40.9% 53.3% 0.0% 5.8% 19.2% 17.3% 19.4% 0.0% 80.0% % 45.4% 53.6% 0.3% 0.7% 42.7% 42.6% 43.2% 100.0% 20.0% % 43.6% 56.4% 0.0% 0.0% 20.9% 20.1% 22.3% 0.0% 0.0% Gender Male % 56.1% 43.9% 0.0% 0.0% 44.1% 54.3% 36.6% 0.0% 0.0% Female % 37.2% 60.1% 0.3% 2.5% 55.9% 45.7% 63.4% 100.0% 100.0% 6
7 7 Party Affiliation Democrat % 8.7% 91.3% 0.0% 0.0% 43.5% 8.3% 75.1% 0.0% 0.0% Republican % 93.7% 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 35.5% 73.1% 3.7% 100.0% 10.0% Party % 72.7% 27.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% Independent % 38.0% 55.5% 0.0% 6.6% 19.2% 16.0% 20.2% 0.0% 90.0% Not Sure % 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 7
8 8 Race White/Caucasian % 50.0% 48.3% 0.0% 1.7% 81.5% 89.5% 74.3% 0.0% 100.0% African-American % 16.5% 83.5% 0.0% 0.0% 13.6% 4.9% 21.5% 0.0% 0.0% Other % 51.4% 45.7% 2.9% 0.0% 4.9% 5.6% 4.2% 100.0% 0.0% Trump Approval Approve % 86.4% 12.2% 0.0% 1.4% 48.5% 92.0% 11.1% 0.0% 50.0% Disapprove % 6.7% 91.6% 0.3% 1.5% 48.3% 7.1% 83.6% 100.0% 50.0% % 13.0% 87.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.2% 0.9% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 8
9 9 Area The City of Detroit % 11.5% 88.5% 0.0% 0.0% 3.7% 0.9% 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% Wayne County Outside Detroit 100.0% 43.6% 55.1% 1.3% 0.0% 11.0% 10.5% 11.4% 100.0% 0.0% Oakland County % 57.3% 42.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 15.7% 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% Macomb County % 37.7% 57.1% 0.0% 5.2% 10.8% 9.0% 11.7% 0.0% 40.0% Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, Midland, Thumb 100.0% 40.7% 58.2% 0.0% 1.1% 12.8% 11.4% 14.1% 0.0% 10.0% Monroe, Washtenaw, and Mid-Michigan 100.0% 50.9% 49.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0% 17.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.0% West Michigan % 43.4% 53.7% 0.0% 2.9% 19.1% 18.2% 19.4% 0.0% 40.0% Northern Michigan/the U.P % 52.5% 46.5% 0.0% 1.0% 14.2% 16.4% 12.5% 0.0% 10.0% 9
10 10 General Election 2016 Clinton % 9.3% 90.1% 0.3% 0.3% 46.9% 9.6% 79.8% 100.0% 10.0% Johnson % 4.8% 76.2% 0.0% 19.0% 2.9% 0.3% 4.2% 0.0% 40.0% Stein % 54.5% 45.5% 0.0% 0.0% 6.2% 7.4% 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% Trump % 90.8% 7.4% 0.0% 1.8% 39.7% 79.3% 5.6% 0.0% 50.0% Did Not Vote % 41.2% 58.8% 0.0% 0.0% 2.4% 2.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% Not Sure % 30.8% 69.2% 0.0% 0.0% 1.8% 1.2% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 10
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