Northshore Probe 2011: Summary By Lane Corley

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1 NorthshoreProbe2011:Summary ByLaneCorley TheNorthshoreBaptistAssociationProbewascompletedonApril1 st andtheresultsand findingsareindeedacalltoaction.inpreparationfortheprobeourofficeconductedthe followingresearch:a30 yearstatisticalsummaryofourchurches,astudyofmulti housing onthenorthshore,andzip codedemographicstudiesforeverycommunityinthensba area.onfriday,april1 st,agroupofpastorsandlaymencametogethertoconductanareawidewindshieldsurveylookingforopportunitiesforministriesandpotentialchurch plants.theteamsidentified25areasforpotentialchurchplantingandministry development.hereisasummaryandsomehighlightsfromourfindings: Thenumbers TheNorthshoreBaptistAssociationcoversapproximately1,800squaremiles,from Springfield/AlbanytoSlidell,LA.In2010,theisapproximately343,794people, whichisa19%increasesince2000anda36%increasesince1990.inthe91southern BaptistChurchesintheregion,membership hasgrowntoa2010totalof24,076resident members,a6%increasefrom2000and18% increasesince1990.baptismsandbiblestudy Attendanceexperienceddouble digit percentageincreasesfrom1990to2000,but bothdroppedby14%from2000to ,220peopleworshipedonanygivenSunday in2010atnsbachurches,whichrepresented adeclineof4%from11,691in2000.every financialcategoryhasincreasedsince1980, includingmissionsgiving,withover$3.5 millionbeinggiventomissioncausesbynsba churchesin2010. Ofourthreemajorcenters,twooutofthreereporteddeclinesfrom2000to 2010.The49NSBAChurchesintheTangipahoaandLivingstonParisharea,where is105,927,reporteda14%decreaseinbothbaptismsandbiblestudy attendanceanda10%decreaseinworshipattendance.inwestst.tammanyparish,where is122,848,the24nsbachurchesreporteda7%increaseinbaptisms,8% increaseinworshipattendance,andonlyaslightdecreaseinbiblestudyattendance. However,theincreasestheredidnotkeepupwiththegrowthin,whichwas 23%from2000to2010.InEastSt.TammanyParish,wheretheeffectsofHurricane KatrinawerefeltmostseverelyinAugustof2005,the17NSBAchurchesreporteda12.5% decreaseinresidentmembership,43%decreaseinbaptisms,31%decreaseinbiblestudy attendance,7%decreaseinworshipattendance,whiletheintheregiongrew 16%to114,145. 1

2 WhileGodhasusedhischurchesontheNorthshore,wemustadmitthatourgrowthhas notkeptupwithincreases.asamatteroffact,isgrowing3timesas fastasresidentmembership,witheveryothersignificantmeasurementforgrowth currentlyusedontheannualchurchprofileshowinganoveralldecline.comparingthe numberstothedemonstratestheurgencyofthismomentinourhistory: residentmembersofnsbachurchesmakeuponly7%ofthe,smallgroup attendeesmakeuponly1.9%ofthe,andonly3.3%oftheofthe NorthshoreattendNSBAchurchesonanygivenweekend.Thesepercentagesareathistoric lows.wecannotcontinueasweare. Thereasonsforthesteepdeclinesarevariousandcouldbesubjectsforfuturepastors conferencesandcoffeeshopmeetings,butforcertainthedevastatingeffectsofhurricane Katrinahaveplayedahugerole.Manypeopleleftourregion,andnewpeoplehavemoved infromlessevangelicalcenters.withtheshiftin,shiftsinstrategy areneededtomoreeffectivelyreachnewpeopleforchrist. TheOpportunities Alongwiththestatisticalresearch,seventeamsofpastorsandlayleadersinNSBA churchesparticipatedinaone daywindshieldsurveyacrosstheregiontoidentifyneeds, potentialsitesfornewchurches,andpotentialministryopportunitiesforchurchesinthe region.thechurchmultiplicationteamwillbeworkingwiththensbastaffandlbc MissionsandMinistriesDivisiontosetprioritiesandstrategyutilizingallofthesefindings. Hereisasummaryoftheworkofourseventeams: Team#1:WestHammond&Ponchatoula/Springfield/Killian Atleastfouropportunitiesnoted:1)SignificantoutreachpossibleatTerryHarborin Killian,suchasBlockParties,resorttypeministries,orsometypeofSundayAMministryto campersandboaters.2)significantoutreachatcartergolfcommunityforgrowing residentandgolfers,suchassundayamorweekdaybiblestudyatthe Clubhouse.3)PotentialChurchPlantintheBaptist/RufusRoadarea.4)PotentialChurch PlantontheWestsideofPonchatoula. Team#2:NorthEastHammond/Robert Atleastfouropportunitiesnoted:1)Multi housingministry&significantoutreachtomultihousingcommunitiesinthecityofhammond,includingtheselucampus.potentialfor churchestoclustertosponsorthisproject.2)potentialchurchplantorchurchreviproject intheareaaroundriverroadandhwy.190.3)potentialchurchplantand/orchurchrevi projectnorthofrobert.4)potentialchurchplantineasthammondintheareaofairport Rd.andHwy.190. Team#3:Ponchatoula/Bedico Atleasttwoopportunitiesnoted:1)PotentialChurchPlantinthegrowingareaEastof PonchatoulaaroundSistersRd. HooverRd. DunsonRd.2)SignificantoutreachtoMobile HomeParksoffofHooverRd.&DunsonRd. 2

3 Team#4:Covington/Madisonville/WestMandeville Atleastfiveopportunitiesnoted:1)Significantoutreachorchurchplantingopportunityin newmixedincomemulti housingdevelopmentincovingtoncalledthegroves.willbe completedthissummer,withmoremixedincomehousingtobebuiltaroundthecomplex inthecomingmonths.2)potentialministryatthest.tammanyjail,suchasbiblestudy, ministrytoinmatefamilies,esl/literacytutoring,gedtutoring,etc.3)potentialchurch PlantintheWest30 sareaofcovingtonwhichiscurrentlybeingrevitalizedbythecity.4) ChaplaincyopportunitiesattheSt.TammanyParishHospitalandindustriessuchasTrinity Marine.5)SignificantministryopportunitiesorChurchplantingintheareasaroundLake RamseyEstatestoCovingtonHighSchool. Team#5:EastMandeville/AbitaSprings Atleastthreeopportunitiesnoted:1)Potentialforanewchurchorsignificantoutreachin theareabetweenhwy.190andhwy.59,southofabitasprings.2)potentialforanew churchinthegreaterabitaspringsarea.3)newchurchneededinthenext2 5yearsinthe areaaroundthehwy.1088/interstate12interchange. Team#6:NorthSlidell/PearlRiver Atleastfouropportunitieswerenoted:1)Atleasteightlargemulti housingfacilitiesarein thisregionincludingmobilehomeparks,apartmentcomplexes,andretirement/assisted livingfacilities.thesepresentopportunitiesforchurchestoreachouttounchurched people.2)withthegrowthinthereisthepotentialforatraditionalchurch plantinthenorthslidell/pearlriverarea.3)altonelementaryoffofhwy11,isoneofst. Tammany smostunderprivilegedschools.achurchorclusterofchurchescouldministerto thiscommunitybyadoptingtheschoolandprovidingresourcesandmentoring.4)the teamnotedthegrowthofhispanicfamilies,especiallyinthemulti housingareas,soa HispanicChurchplantmaybeconsideredforthisarea. Team#7:Slidell,southofInterstate10/12 Atleastthreeopportunitiesnoted:1)PotentialchurchplantontheWestsideofSlidell betweenthompsonroadandhwy.11aroundhwy.433andhwy190.2)potentialchurch PlantinSouthSlidellatOakHarbor,EdenIsles,andOldSpanishTrail.3)Significant outreachtomulti housingunitsinthecityofslidell.greatopportunityforchurchesto clusterforthisproject. Thesearepotentialministriesandchurchesbasedoffawindshieldsurvey,nottheofficial strategyofthenorthshorebaptistassociation.prioritieswillbesetandpartners/leaders developedpriortolaunchinganyoftheseministries. MeetingtheChallenge OverthenexttenyearstheNorthshoreisprojectedtocontinuetogrowatarateof22%, whichwouldbringourtoover419,000people.22%growthforourchurches wouldmeanadding5,296newmembersintenyears.thisstillwouldmeanthatonly7%of thewouldbemembersofnsbachurches.therealchallengeistoincreasethe 3

4 percentageofpeopleattendingnsbaworshipgatheringsandbiblestudies.currently3.3% oftheattendsworshipinnsbachurches.ifwewantedtodoublethatto6.6%of theinworshipattendanceoverthenexttenitwouldmeanadding16,434 worshipers.currently1.9%oftheattendsbiblestudyinnsbachurches.ifwe wantedtodoublethatto3.8%overthenexttenyearsitwouldmeanadding9,304people toourbiblestudyrolls.dauntingnumbersconsideringourcurrentdecline.howcouldwe dothis?andisitevenpossible? Foursuggestionstomeetthechallenge:First,weneedsomeofourchurchestobreakout. Second,weneedhealthierandriskierchurchplanting.Third,weneedtopartnertohelp churchesinneedofandwillingtoengageinrevitalization.fourth,weneedadiscipleship revolution. BreakoutChurches AbreakoutchurchisdefinedbyThomRainerinhisbookbythattitleasachurchthat reachesatleastonepersonforchristeverytwoweeksor26personsperyear,hasa conversionratioof20:1or1conversionforevery20membersperyear,hastenuredand consistentleadership,andthechurchmakesaclearandpositiveimpactonitscommunity. 1 Inourarea,FBCCovingtonwouldbeanexampleofabreakoutchurch.In1980,FBChad 322inSundaySchoolandbaptized32.Dr.WaylonBaileybecamepastorin1989andfrom 1990to2000,SundaySchoolattendancegrewfrom417to1,137.From2000to2010,FBC relocatedintoanewfacility,sponsoredanewchurchonthenorthshorewhichadded100+ membersinitsfirstfiveyears,andtodayfbchasover1,700worshipperseachweek.and, since1990,1,745peoplehavebeenbaptizedthroughtheministryoffbccovington. BedicoBaptistisanotherchurchthathasbrokenoutwithtenuredleadership.LeoMiller becamepastorin1994.in1995,sundayschoolaveraged76weeklyattendeesatbedico.in 2000,thatwasupto141,2005to232,andBedicohasrecentlybrokenthe400barrier.And since1994,537havebeenbaptizedatbedico.othersarepoisedtobreakoutacrossthe Northshore.Themomentumofgrowingchurchesbreakingoutwillhelpuscatchupwith growthandmovepastaseasonofdecline. HealthierandRiskierChurchPlanting Healthierchurchplantingmeanschurchplantingthatisledbychurcheswithaheartto multiplyandreproducethemselvesforthesakeofkingdomexpansion.so,what sneeded forhealthierchurchplantingishealthymotherchurcheswithahearttoreproduce.asbob RobertssaysinhisgreatbookTheMultiplyingChurch, ThefutureoffaithinAmerica(and anywhereintheworld,forthatmatter)isnottiedtoplantingmorechurches,butinraising upofmothercongregationsofeverytribe,tongue,denomination,andnetworkthatare reproducing...thehopeisinpregnantmotherchurches. 2 Riskierchurchplantingwouldbemultiplicationthattargetshardtoreachareasand unchurchedpocketsofour.missiologistalanhirschsuggeststhatcurrent churchmodelsarereachingouttosmallerandsmallersegmentofthe,with 1Rainer,Tom.BreakoutChurches.GrandRapids,Michigan:Zondervan, Roberts,Bob.TheMultiplyingChurch.GrandRapids,Michigan:Zondervan,

5 possiblyasmuchas60%ofamericauntargetedbyourevangelisticandoutreachefforts. 3 Ourprobeidentifiedmulti housingasonepotentialsegmentthatisunderserved. Othersmaybethoseintheirearly20 swithverylittleunderstandingofreligioninany form.weneedsomechurchplantsthatgobeyondplantingaworshipservicethatlooks similartoothersinthecommunity,butwillaskthequestion Whereisthechurchnot? andgotherewiththegospel.weneedsomechurchplantsthathavedifferentscorecards anddifferentexpectations,butwillfaithfullydeliverthemessageofchristtounchurched people. PartnersinRevitalization Churchrevitalizationisneededtoturnmomentumaroundforcongregationsthatarenot effectivelyreachingtheircommunities.thisisalreadyhappeninginavarietyofwayson thenorthshore,withgracememorialbaptistchurchinslidellbecomingthesponsorof CovenantBaptistChurch,whichwasinsteepdeclineandindangerofshuttingthedoors. Also,withWoodlandParkBaptistChurchmergingandtakingontheassetsandliabilitiesof NewLifeChurchinHammond,whichwasinsteepdecline,andnowtheyarelookingto plantanadditionalcampusofwoodlandparkonthesite.andfbchammondworking throughaself assessmentwiththensbastafftobeginaprocesstowardrevitalization. Churchesareneededwhoarewillingtoadoptorsponsorormergewithexisting congregationsforthegloryofgod.andchurchesareneededwhoarewillingtoadmitthere inneedofcomingunderthewingofabenevolentparentchurchorworkwithachurch wantingtohelptheninarevitalizationeffort. ADiscipleshipRevolution Callitrevival,layrenewal,orawakening,whatweneedisarevolutionofdiscipleshipthat willleadnorthshorechristianstomultiplythemselvesspreadingthegospellikeasneeze totheirneighbors,classmates,coworkers,andbeyond.inhisbookchurch3.0,neilcole observes, wehaveloweredthebarofwhatitmeanstobeachristian,suchthatsimply showinguptotheweeklyone houreventwithsomeregularityandacheckbookisallit takes. 4 Wemustrefocusonmakingdiscipleswhowillreproducethemselvesbytelling others,invitingothers,anddisciplingothers. Conclusion Aswethinkaboutourregion,beyondthenumbersarepeoplewhoaregoingthrough cancerdiagnosiswithoutachurchfamilytoprayandcareforthem,peoplewhoaretrying tobreakthescurgeofaddictionwithoutaprayerandsupportnetwork,familiesfacing financialproblemsandcrisiswithoutthewisdomoftheholyspirit,andpeoplefacing deathwithouttheassuranceofeternallifethroughchrist.andaboveall,agodwholongs toknowthemandtoreceivegloryandhonorfromtheirlives.wemustworktogetherfor God sgloryandthelivesofthepeopleofthenorthshore. 3http:// hirsch church model reaching only 40 percent of americans 47500/ 4Cole,Neil.Church3.0:UpgradesfortheFutureoftheChurch.SanFrancisco,CA:Jossey Bass,

6 30-Year Statistical Summary of the Northshore Baptist Association Churches 5 72/53 reporting 73/69 reporting 83/76 reporting 91/76 reporting Resident Members 16,285 19,720 (17.4%+) 22,624 (12.8%+) make up 9% of make up 8.1% of Baptisms ,077 (29.6%+) 921 (14%-) Sunday School Average Worship Attendance 5,599 6,618 (15.4%+) Small Group Attendees make up 3% of 7,689 (13.9%+) Small Group Attendees make up 2.7% of 11,691 Worship attendees make up 4.2% of the 24,076 (6%+) make up 7.0% of 6,618 (14%-) Small Group attendees make up 1.9% of 11,220 (4%-) Worship attendees make up 3.3% of Receipts $3,811,632 $8,419,960 $17,791,426 $22,353,616 Property $106,291,179 Values CP Giving $323,039 $602,452 $1,074,693 $1,335,653 Associational $43,629 $83,753 $149,757 $301,643 Giving Other Missions $1,116,023 $1,894,363 Giving VBS 6,687 8,172 10,301 8,300 Population 6 N/A 219,820 1 church/3, ,446 (21%+) 1 church/3, ,794 (19%+) 1 church/3, to 2000 Added 10 churches. Membership grew by 12.8%. Membership to Population ratio dropped from 9% to 8%. Small Group Attendance to Population ratio decreased from 3% to 2.7%. Baptisms increased by 30%. Population grew by 21% to 2010 Added 8 churches. Membership grew by 6%. Membership to ratio dropped from 8% to 7%. Small Group attendance to ratio dropped from 2.7% to 1.9%. Baptism decreased by 14%. Population grew by 19%. Observations: The Northshore Baptist Association is experiencing a decline. The is growing 3 times faster than hip. 5AlldatatakenfromLBCAnnualChurchProfiles. 6Populationdatatakenfromwww.census.govreportsforZipCodes70401,70403,70443,70446,70454,70455,70462,70466,70711, &St.TammanyParish 6

7 30-Year Statistical Summary of the Northshore Baptist Association, Tangi-Livingston (70401, 70403, 70443, 70446, 70454, 70455, 70462, 70466, 70711) Churches 7 33/31 reporting 44/43 reporting 46/45 reporting 49/44 reporting Resident Members 8,954 11,039 11,289 (2%+) make up 13% of Baptisms (14%-) Sunday School Average Worship Attendance 2,792 3,268 3,524 (7.2%+) Bible Study Attendees make up 4% of 5,855 Worship attendees make up 6.7% of 12,241 (7.8%+) make up 11% of 3,032 (14%-) Bible Study Attendees make up 2.9% of 5,269 (10%-) Worship attendees make up 5% of VBS 3,632 3,923 4,769 3,802 Population 8 N/A N/A 87,178 1 church/1, ,927 (17%+) 1 church/2,162 7 AlldatatakenfromLBCAnnualChurchProfiles. 8 PopulationdatatakenfromESRIBusinessAnalystReportforareaZipCodes. 7

8 30-Year Statistical Summary of the Northshore Baptist Association, West St. Tammany area (70420, 70431, 70433, 70435, 70437, 70447, 70448) Churches 9 13/13 reporting 16/16 reporting 20/15 reporting 24/19 reporting Resident Members 3,286 4,056 5,588 (27%+) make up 5.9% of Baptisms (7%+) Sunday School Average Worship Attendance 1,206 1,409 2,328 (39%+) Bible Study Attendees make up 2.5% of 3,453 Worship attendees make up 3.7% of 6,743 (17%+) make up 5.4% of 2,324 Bible Study Attendees make up 1.9% of 3,741 (7.7%+) Worship attendees make up 3% of VBS 890 1,586 2,682 2,798 Population 10 N/A N/A 94,250 1 church/4, ,848 (23%+) 1 church/5,118 9 AlldatatakenfromLBCAnnualChurchProfiles. 10 PopulationdatatakenfromESRIBusinessAnalystReportforZipCodes70401,70403, 70443,70446,70454,70455,70462,70466,70711,&St.TammanyParish 8

9 30-Year Statistical Summary of the Northshore Baptist Association, East St. Tammany area (70445, 70452, 70458, 70460, 70461) Churches 11 10/7 reporting 9/9 reporting 10/9 reporting 17/14 reporting Resident 4,018 4,625 5,747 5,026 (12.5%-) Members make up 4.4% of Baptisms (43%-) Sunday School Average Worship Attendance 1,601 1,941 1,839 1,262 (31%-) Bible Study attendees make up 1.1% of 2,383 2,210 (7.3%-) Worship Attendees make up 1.9% of VBS 2,165 2,663 2,850 1,700 Population 12 81,392 96, ,145 (16%+) 1 church/6, AlldatatakenfromLBCAnnualChurchProfiles. 12 PopulationdatatakenfromESRIBusinessAnalystReportforZipCodes70401,70403, 70443,70446,70454,70455,70462,70466,70711,&St.TammanyParish 9